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Wisconsin Badgers vs. Purdue Boilermakers 09/22/23 NCAAF Week 4 Tips, Analysis, and Odds

Wisconsin Badgers (2-1) vs. Purdue Boilermakers (1-2)

As the college football landscape navigates its way through Week 4, the Wisconsin Badgers are set to clash with the Purdue Boilermakers. The game is scheduled for September 22, 2023, at 7 PM ET at Ross-Ade Stadium and will be broadcast live on FS1. NCAAF Week 4 betting picks are available online to give insights to fans and punters.

The Badgers have shown remarkable form with a 2-1 start this season, largely due to dynamic performances from Chez Mellusi in the ground game and Chimere Dike in the passing game. Mellusi has averaged an eye-catching 6.7 yards per rush, while Dike has contributed with an average of 20.1 yards per catch, giving a boost to Wisconsin’s offensive potency.

On the other hand, Purdue Boilermakers, at 1-2, are in dire need of a victory to salvage their season. Standout players like Devin Mockobee and Deion Burks have put up commendable performances; Mockobee has piled up 186 rushing yards and two touchdowns, while Burks has collected 221 yards through the air and found the end zone three times.

 

Wisconsin Badgers vs. Purdue Boilermakers Game Info

When: Friday, September 22, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET
Where: Ross-Ade Stadium
TV: FS1
Stream: Sofascore

 

Tanner Mordecai QB vs. Hudson Card QB

Wisconsin’s Tanner Mordecai has been efficient this season, tallying 702 passing yards. With a completion rate of 67.3%, his play style showcases calculated decision-making, often opting for safer passes. Despite two interceptions, his ability to make wise choices remains an asset. However, the five sacks against him suggest room for improvement in pocket awareness. With an average passer rating of 126.3, Mordecai’s effectiveness could increase if provided with better protection from his offensive line.

In contrast, Purdue’s Hudson Card has been a revelation with his robust arm strength and rapid decision-making, amassing 825 yards in the air. His completion rate stands at 65.5% and he boasts a passer rating of 135.6. Card is not afraid to go long, as seen in his longest completion of 84 yards. With three touchdowns and a single interception, Card’s daring play style tends to pay off more often than not, although he too has been sacked four times this season.

 

NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: Wisconsin Badgers -270, Total Odds: 54.5

The odds are leaning in Wisconsin’s favor with a -270 moneyline and a -7.5 point spread. The total points for the game have been set at 54.5. Based on past head-to-head matchups, Wisconsin appears likely to cover the spread.

 

Wisconsin Badgers Betting Trends

The Badgers haven’t been consistent against the spread, registering a 2-5 ATS record in their last seven games. Additionally, the total has fallen short in six of their last eight games. Though their overall performance against Purdue has been commendable (13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings), their road game statistics leave much to be desired with a 1-6 ATS record in their last seven outings.

 

Purdue Boilermakers Betting Trends

Purdue is also struggling when it comes to betting, with a 1-4 ATS mark in their last five contests. Their home game record is notably abysmal, standing at 0-6 ATS. However, the total has exceeded the set number in five of their last six encounters with Wisconsin, which could be an interesting tidbit for those looking at over/under bets.

 

Wisconsin Badgers vs. Purdue Boilermakers 09/22/23 Betting Picks

Based on recent performances and key players, Wisconsin seems more likely to secure a victory, notwithstanding their less-than-impressive away game record. The Badgers’ rushing attack, led by Mellusi, could be the game-changer, making the -7.5 spread seem attainable. Furthermore, Wisconsin’s stronger ATS record in head-to-head matchups with Purdue adds weight to this prediction.

For prop bet aficionados, keep a close watch on potential high-yardage or touchdown contributions from Mellusi for the Badgers and Burks for the Boilermakers. These players have been consistently excellent and are likely to be the focal points of their respective offenses. If you’re considering over/under bets, the over set at 54.5 could be the way to go, especially given Purdue’s track record against Wisconsin. Taking into account both teams’ offensive capabilities and recent betting trends at the top betting websites, it might be wise to consider bets that capitalize on scoring plays and total points.

Free Pick and Prediction: Wisconsin 31, Purdue 20

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