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MLB Betting Prediction: Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles 8/22/2024

Houston Astros (67-56) vs. Baltimore Orioles (73-52)

The upcoming MLB showdown at Oriole Park at Camden Yards presents an exciting clash as the Houston Astros face off against the Baltimore Orioles. Both teams have showcased significant prowess throughout the season, with the Astros currently holding a solid 67-56 win-loss record and the Orioles leading further with a 73-52 standing. Scheduled for Thursday, August 22, 2024, at 7:08 PM ET and airing on FOX, this matchup promises thrilling baseball action and is a top pick on the best live betting website.

This season, the Houston Astros have demonstrated a balanced performance with a batting average of .260 and 146 home runs to show for their offensive capabilities. However, their pitching statistics of 3.83 ERA and 1.26 WHIP reveal some weaknesses that have been exploited in several matches. In spite of having a strong overall record, the Astros have had challenges on the road with it being balanced out by going 31-31 against spread in away games. This will be important as they play under the difficult conditions at Camden Yards.

With 192 home runs and a slugging percentage of .451 in addition to scoring 630 runs this season which is much more than those scored by the Astros, Baltimore Orioles enter this game with an edge in power-hitting. Their pitchers’ stats are only slightly weaker than those of Houston, with a 3.94 ERA but they have managed to keep games competitive leading to them having a record of 33 wins and 27 losses while playing against points or spreads in road games. The ability by the Orioles to exploit their home field advantage where they played well under such circumstances will be crucial during this meeting.

 

Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles Game Info

When: Thursday, August 22, 2024 at 7:08 PM ET
Where: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
TV: FOX
Stream: MLB.TV

 

Spencer Arrighetti (5-11, 5.2 ERA) vs. Corbin Burnes (12-5, 3.1 ERA)

Spencer Arrighetti’s season has been difficult with a 5.2 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP in only 110.2 innings pitched, but he has shown resilience. His strikeout total is high at 134, but his control of the plate is suspect as exhibited by his giving up 52 walks and allowing 17 homers. Performance by Arrighetti could be key and his management of the Orioles’ big hitters will be scrutinized.

Corbin Burnes, however, has had an excellent year for the Orioles. Through 153.2 innings, Burnes has been one of Baltimore’s best pitchers with a 3.1 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP on average. He is very efficient having fanned offensively thirty-eight batters while conceding shot plays just eighteen times among his given up delta hits (home runs) for the Astro hitters.

 

MLB Odds/Point Spread: TBD, Total Odds: TBD

As the betting lines remain undefined, insights from both teams’ recent performances suggest a potentially close game with a slight edge to the Orioles, given their home advantage and stronger slugging stats.

 

Houston Astros Betting Trends

The Astros’ recent form shows a mixed bag, with a 4-1 record in their last 5 games but a less convincing 2-3 against the spread in the same period. This suggests some discrepancies between expected and actual performances, especially in tightly contested matchups. Their road game performance aligns closely with overall season trends, reinforcing the importance of pitcher effectiveness in this upcoming game.

 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Orioles have mirrored the Astros in recent outcomes, going 3-2 in both their last 5 games and against the spread. Their consistent performance at home and ability to cover spreads in closely contested games provide them with a slight psychological edge, which could play into the dynamics of this matchup.

 

Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles 8/22/24 Betting Picks

The Orioles look to have the edge in this matchup when considering the analysis and recent trends, robust home record and the ability to slug as an offense. Ultimately, Burnes will be more in control than Arrighetti due to his better season stats if there is a pitching duel.

In summary, although Houston may cause an upset, Baltimore’s combination of playing at home, big hitting players and reliable pitching from Burnes makes it safer. You could consider looking at prop bets on total home runs or even go under on total runs expecting pitchers’ dominance. A further betting advantage can be derived by keeping track of game day weather conditions and lineup changes for baseball expert picks.

 

Free Pick and Prediction: Baltimore Orioles 5, Houston Astros 3

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