Washington Commanders (1-0) vs. Denver Broncos (0-1)
Week 2 of the NFL season is upon us, and we have a tantalizing matchup to consider. The Washington Commanders, coming off a win, are looking to keep the momentum going against the Denver Broncos, who aim to bounce back after an opening week loss. For those looking for free NFL picks today, this analysis might be just what you need to make an informed decision.
Brian Robinson Jr. had a modest performance in the last game, rushing 19 times for 59 yards, averaging 3.1 yards per carry. While those aren’t ground-breaking numbers, his ability to move the chains with 5 rushing first downs indicates he could be an essential piece in controlling the clock. Curtis Samuel is proving to be a reliable target in Washington’s offensive setup. Although he only recorded 54 receiving yards in the last game, Samuel did manage to haul in all of his targets, indicating a strong chemistry with his quarterback.
Williams put up 52 rushing yards in the Broncos’ previous game, averaging 4 yards per carry. Although he didn’t find the end zone, Williams does offer a promising ground game that could become increasingly dangerous as the season progresses. Sutton had a quiet but efficient game, catching 4 of 5 targets for 32 yards and a touchdown. His skills offer a dependable receiving option for quarterback Russell Wilson, especially in red-zone situations.
Washington Commanders vs. Denver Broncos Game Info
|When:||Sunday, September 17, 2023 at 4:25 PM ET|
|Where:||Empower Field at Mile High|
|Stream||NFL Game Pass|
Sam Howell QB vs. Russell Wilson QB
The quarterback duel offers an intriguing contrast in styles and experience. Sam Howell of the Washington Commanders is an inexperienced QB with much to prove; last game he completed 61.3 percent of his passes for 202 yards with 1 touchdown and 1 interception while being taken down 6 times, losing 46 yards due to sack protection issues.
Russell Wilson is an experienced veteran with years of proven success under his belt. In the previous game, Wilson demonstrated his high level of skill by completing 79.4% of his passes for 177 yards and two touchdowns without throwing an interception – an outstanding indicator of decision-making ability! Furthermore, all this feat was achieved while being sacked only twice!
Howell needs time and experience to match Wilson’s efficiency and game management abilities. On the road, Wilson will need to adjust quickly when pressure builds up quickly against him; his experience gives him the edge in this matchup, with his uncanny ability to read defenses and adjust play calls making this game tougher for Washington than usual. Expect Wilson to exploit Washington’s vulnerabilities making this contest especially testing for them.
NFL Odds/Point Spread: Denver Broncos -190, Total Odds: 39
Given the betting odds with Washington Commanders at a Spread of +3.5 (-114), Moneyline +165, and a Total of 39 over (-105), compared to Denver Broncos’ Spread of -3.5 (-106), Moneyline -190, and a Total of 39 under (-115), the numbers suggest a slight edge for the Broncos. Their stronger quarterback play and home-field advantage make Denver the more compelling pick, particularly when considering the spread.
Washington Commanders Betting Trends
Washington’s 1-5 record ATS in their last 6 games doesn’t bode well for their spread this week. Furthermore, their trend for underachieving on the road, especially against the Broncos, supports the notion that they’ll have a hard time covering the spread.
Denver Broncos Betting Trends
Denver’s recent 3-12 SU record in their last 15 games is concerning. However, they are strong at home against Washington, with a 6-1 SU record. This mixed bag of trends indicates that while Denver might not be the most reliable bet in general, they are a good pick when playing Washington at home.
Washington Commanders vs. Denver Broncos 9/17/23 Free Picks
When it comes to the best sports betting picks, the data leans toward the Denver Broncos pulling off the win, especially given their strong home record against Washington. Taking all these factors into account, we recommend going with Denver -3.5 on the spread.
Free Pick and Prediction: Denver Broncos will win 27-20