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Virginia Cavaliers vs. Maryland Terrapins 9/15/23 NCAAF Week 3 Tips, Prediction, and Odds

Virginia Cavaliers (0-2) vs. Maryland Terrapins (2-0)

In an upcoming collegiate football clash, the Virginia Cavaliers (0-2) are gearing up to face the undefeated Maryland Terrapins (2-0). This pivotal matchup is scheduled to take place at SECU Stadium on September 15, 2023, and will be televised on FS1. Stay tuned for expert analysis and predictions if you’re looking for NCAAF best picks for this game.

Despite a less-than-ideal start to their season, the Virginia Cavaliers have witnessed promising individual performances from running back Perris Jones and wide receiver Malik Washington. Jones has amassed 50 rushing yards on 17 attempts, scoring one touchdown, and showcased his explosiveness with a longest run of 17 yards. Meanwhile, Washington has hauled in nine receptions for a total of 148 yards, boasting an impressive 16.4 catch rate, and contributing one touchdown. Regrettably, these individual feats have yet to translate into victories for the Cavaliers.

In stark contrast, the Maryland Terrapins have made a strong entrance to the season with a flawless 2-0 record. Running back Roman Hemby has been a standout performer, amassing 220 rushing yards on 32 carries and finding the end zone twice. Wide receiver Jeshaun Jones has also made a significant impact, recording eight receptions for 102 yards and one touchdown, bolstering Maryland’s versatile and efficient offensive unit.


Virginia Cavaliers vs. Maryland Terrapins Game Info

When: Friday, September 15, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET
Where: SECU Stadium
Stream SofaScore


Anthony Colandrea QB vs. Taulia Tagovailoa QB

Virginia’s quarterback, Anthony Colandrea, has displayed promise, completing 22 of 33 attempts for a total of 389 passing yards. His impressive 66.7% completion rate and an average of 11.8 yards per pass attempt reflect his ability to make accurate throws. Colandrea has also thrown two touchdowns but endured four sacks, resulting in a loss of 31 yards. Currently, his passer rating stands at 179.6, indicating his sound decision-making, albeit hampered by the offensive line’s vulnerabilities.

On the Maryland side, Taulia Tagovailoa has delivered consistent performances, completing 47 of 69 passes for 547 yards. Although his completion rate is slightly higher at 68.1%, he falls short in yards per attempt with 7.9 compared to Colandrea’s 11.8. Tagovailoa has thrown four touchdowns and two interceptions. Remarkably, he has yet to be sacked this season, resulting in a passer rating of 148.

While both quarterbacks maintain similar completion percentages, the disparities in yards per attempt and touchdown passes are noteworthy. Colandrea’s willingness to take risks with an 11.8-yard average suggests a penchant for downfield plays. However, his vulnerability to sacks could prove detrimental against Maryland’s formidable defense. Tagovailoa’s more conservative approach, evident in his lower yards per attempt, may serve as an asset by reducing the risk of turnovers.


NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: Maryland Terrapins -600, Total Odds: 48.5

The Virginia Cavaliers enter the game as underdogs with a +14 point spread and odds at -105, while the Maryland Terrapins are favored with a -14 point spread and odds at -115. The total points for the game are set at 48.5.


Virginia Cavaliers Betting Trends 

Virginia has shown resilience in the betting realm, boasting a 4-2 record against the spread (ATS) in their last six games, despite their lackluster season start. Historically, they have also performed well against Maryland, holding a 6-2 ATS record in their last eight matchups. However, their straight-up (SU) record paints a less optimistic picture, standing at 0-5.


Maryland Terrapin Betting Trends

Maryland’s recent ATS record of 3-7 in their last 10 games leaves room for improvement, but they have demonstrated strength on home turf with a 7-2 SU record in their last nine home games. However, their performance against Virginia at home has been less convincing, with a 1-4 ATS record in their last five matchups.


Virginia Cavaliers vs. Maryland Terrapins 9/15/23 Betting Picks

Taking into account the current form, key player statistics, and betting trends, Maryland emerges as one of the best betting sites for this matchup. Taulia Tagovailoa appears poised for success compared to Anthony Colandrea, largely due to the superior protection afforded by his offensive line. Despite Virginia’s strong ATS trends against Maryland, their recent SU record and performance on the road raise concerns. Given Virginia’s offensive vulnerabilities and Maryland’s balanced offensive approach, it is likely that the Terrapins will cover the spread and extend their winning streak.

Free Pick and Prediction: Maryland Terrapins will win 34-17

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