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UFC FIGHT NIGHT 227: Raul Rosas Jr. vs. Terrence Mitchell 9/16/23 Prediction, Odds and Picks

UFC FIGHT NIGHT 227: Raul Rosas Jr. vs. Terrence Mitchell 9/16/23 – Mark your calendars: September 16, 2023–UFC Fight Night 227 will feature an epic clash between Bantamweight titans Raul “El Nino Problema” Rosas Jr. and Terrence Mitchell as part of its primary card, scheduled to begin around 10:00 PM ET at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. As these fighters gear up for what promises to be an intense match-up, let’s examine their styles, statistics, and metrics so we can make UFC betting picks today.


Raul Rosas Jr. vs. Terrence Mitchell Game Info

When: Saturday, September 16, 2023 at 10:00 PM ET
Where: T-Mobile Arena Las Vegas, Nevada, United States


Raul Rosas Jr. Analysis

Raul “El Nino Problema” Rosas Jr. may be the young gun in this showdown, but he has already made a splash in the MMA scene, largely courtesy of his ground game. He’s averaging just 0.76 significant strikes per minute, with a rather lackluster striking accuracy of 37%. However, this could be a tactical decision to mask his true game plan—getting the fight to the ground where he dominates.

His grappling prowess is where Rosas Jr. truly shines. Averaging an impressive 3.67 takedowns per 15 minutes, he has a knack for putting his opponents where he wants them. And once they are there, they are in for a ride; his submission rate averages 1.8 per 15 minutes, a stat that should make any opponent rethink their strategy.

While his takedown accuracy stands at a modest 33%, his willingness to go to the ground, even with a 0% takedown defense, indicates the level of confidence he has in his grappling game. His 7-1-0 record indicates he’s a rising star, and he would be desperate to avenge his previous loss to Rodriguez by conquering a seasoned opponent like Mitchell.


Terrence Mitchell Analysis

Terrence Mitchell brings a wealth of experience to the Octagon, coupled with a well-rounded but flawed set of skills. With an average of 0.95 significant strikes per minute and a striking accuracy of 42%, Mitchell does possess some tools in the stand-up department. His reach of 74 inches compared to Rosas Jr.’s 67 could provide him with an opportunity to control distance through jabs and straights.

However, Mitchell’s defense raises some concerns. With a striking absorption rate of 5.68 per minute, he could be walking into a trap against a ground specialist like Rosas Jr. His grappling game is strong, averaging 4.74 takedowns per 15 minutes at 50% accuracy, but with a takedown defense of 0%, he could find himself in dangerous territory against a submission expert.

Mitchell is looking to bounce back after a loss to Saaiman. His overall record stands at 14-3-0, indicating that he knows his way around the Octagon. Experience can be the deciding factor in evenly matched contests, and Mitchell will be keen to leverage this against his less experienced adversary.


Raul Rosas Jr. vs. Terrence Mitchell Stats

Rosas Jr. Mitchell
Wins/Losses/Draws 7-1-0 14-3-0
Average Fight Time 10:55 3:10
Height 5′ 9″ 5′ 10″
Weight 135 lbs. 135 lbs.
Reach 67″ 74″
Stance Switch Orthodox
Strikes Landed per Min. 0.76 0.95
Striking Accuracy 37% 42%
Strikes Absorbed per Min. 1.37 5.68
Defense 40% 43%
Takedowns Average/15 min. 3.67 4.74
Takedown Accuracy 33% 50%
Takedown Defense 0% 0%


Raul Rosas Jr. vs. Terrence Mitchell Free Pick

When the dust settles, this bout promises to be a chess match involving striking, grappling, and mind games. Mitchell’s striking and takedown game is noteworthy, but his defensive frailties and susceptibility to submissions make him a target for Rosas Jr.’s specialized ground game. Given Mitchell’s lackluster takedown defense, Rosas Jr. has a golden opportunity to control the fight and possibly finish it on the ground.


Free Pick: Raul Rosas Jr. -555

This UFC Fight Night 227 contest promises electrifying action, and for the bettors looking to engage in live betting, this bout provides an ideal landscape. Given Rosas Jr.’s strong ground and submission game, he looks primed to exploit Mitchell’s weaknesses. Prepare for an exhilarating night of action; this battle will be a fight fan’s dream.


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