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NFL Week 12 Betting Prediction: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Indianapolis Colts 11/26/2023

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-6) vs. Indianapolis Colts (5-5)

At Lucas Oil Stadium on Sunday, two closely matched NFL teams, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers with a 4-6 record and the Indianapolis Colts (5-5), face each other for a vital Week 12 NFL matchup that could determine which will advance further towards playoff contention. Fans and bettors are keenly watching the broadcast of this key contest to understand which side has an edge in this contest – looking out for any football betting picks to predict who has an edge over whom.

This season has seen the Buccaneers’ offensive success highlighted by the efforts of quarterback Baker Mayfield and an array of skill players. Rachaad White has been their primary ball carrier on the ground – amassing 429 yards on 132 attempts. Owing to his average of 3.3 yards per rush, Mike Evans has been an effective presence in the backfield. Meanwhile, in the air Mike Evans has excelled as an impressive wide receiver by accruing 730 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns off 43 receptions. His 17.1 yards per reception average illustrates his ability to make significant plays downfield.

On the Colts’ side of things, their offense has been an intriguing combination of steady passing and robust rushing. Quarterback Gardner Minshew has provided steady performance since taking over this season; however, more dynamic playmaking would benefit their offense greatly. Running back Zack Moss has proven more productive for their running game with 617 yards at an average 4.6 yards per carry average he boasts; Michael Pittman Jr has provided reliable receiver corps support securing 66 receptions for 677 yards, adding yards after catch to help further the Colts offense.


Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Indianapolis Colts Game Info

When: Sunday, November 26, 2023 at 1:00 PM ET
Where: Lucas Oil Stadium
Stream: NFL Game Pass


Baker Mayfield QB vs. Gardner Minshew QB

Baker Mayfield of the Buccaneers has demonstrated both ability and resilience this season, posting a completion percentage of 64.6 and 2143 passing yards for effective game management. Yet with 14 touchdowns against 5 interceptions this season, Mayfield must reduce turnovers in order to increase his team’s scoring opportunities.

Gardner Minshew of the Colts has maintained an identical completion percentage (63.7%) but with significantly fewer passing yards (1721). Minshew has amassed 8 touchdowns to 6 interceptions, illustrating his need for greater red zone precision. Both quarterbacks have endured pressure in terms of taking sacks; thus this game will serve as a true test of their leadership capabilities under high-stakes conditions.


NFL Odds/Point Spread: Indianapolis Colts -135, Total Odds: 42.5

The Colts are slight favorites with a -2.5 point spread and a moneyline of -135, while the Buccaneers are at +112. The total is set at 42.5 points, suggesting expectations of a moderately high-scoring game. These odds reflect the competitive nature of the matchup and the strengths and weaknesses of both teams.


Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Trends

The Buccaneers have performed admirably against the spread in their last five games, going 4-1 ATS. Unfortunately, their overall performance has been inconsistent as evidenced by their 3-6 record and recent games going UNDER in scoring consistently.


Indianapolis Colts Betting Trends

The Colts have maintained an impressive ATS record over their last nine games, going 6-3 against the spread. Although their overall record reflects inconsistency, their home game trends against Buccaneers indicate they can perform under high-pressure situations well.


Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Indianapolis Colts 11/26/23 Betting Picks

Given their performances and trends, this matchup appears to be close. While the Buccaneers may struggle recently, Mayfield can help them overcome recent struggles and outperform. Meanwhile, the Colts boast a balanced offense with stronger recent form at home giving them a slight edge in this matchup.

For those looking into online betting, considering the close nature of this matchup, prop bets on individual player performances or live betting on halftime scores could provide value. The over/under market also presents an interesting opportunity, considering the set total and the offensive capabilities of both teams.


Free Pick and Prediction: Indianapolis Colts 24, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 21

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