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NCAAB Betting Prediction: SMU Mustangs vs. Wichita State Shockers 1/28/2024

SMU Mustangs (13-6) vs. Wichita State Shockers (8-11)

As the NCAA Men’s Basketball season heats up, all eyes are set on the upcoming clash between the SMU Mustangs and the Wichita State Shockers. The Mustangs, boasting a strong 13-6 record, are set to face off against the struggling Shockers, who currently stand at 8-11. This game, scheduled for Sunday is not just a test of skill and strategy but also a critical matchup for bettors seeking the latest NCAAB picks. 

The SMU Mustangs have put up impressive results this year, particularly during their last five games where they went 4-1, showing that they can maintain form and momentum. Remarkably, they have outshone expectations by going 4-0 against the spread in these games, showing their consistency in outperforming expectations. Their offensive stats stand out, as they average 76.3 points per game with a solid 45.7% field goal percentage. The Mustangs also excel at 3-point shooting, making an average of 7.5 three-pointers per game at a 34.6% success rate. Defensively they are powerful with 40.6 rebounds per game average and 8.7 steals per game on average; their turnover rate could however pose some concern.

Wichita State Shockers have had a tough season. Their last five games ended in five losses, signaling significant difficulty maintaining form. Their record against the spread sits at just 1-3 and road record against betting expectations 1-5; which may imply problems meeting or exceeding betting expectations on road games as well. Statistically speaking they average 72.9 points per game with field goal percentage at 44.8% while 3-point shooting averages are significantly lower (31% vs SMU’s 41%) but their 40.8 rebound average makes up for less dynamic offense than SMU in terms of dynamic offense.


SMU Mustangs vs. Wichita State Shockers Game Info

When: Sunday, January 28, 2024, at 3:00 PM ET
Where: Charles Koch Arena
Stream: Sofascore


Zhuric Phelps (Guard) vs. Colby Rogers (Guard)

In 18 games this season, Zhuric Phelps is averaging 14.3 points, 4.6 rebounds, 2.4 assists and 2 steals per contest. He is shooting 40.2% from the field along with 26.4% from three point range and 75.3% from the free throw line. His versatility on both ends has sparked the Mustangs during their 4-1 surge.

Meanwhile, Colby Rogers is the Shockers’ top performer, putting up 15.5 points to go along with 3.6 rebounds and 2 assists per game across 19 appearances. He is a perimeter threat, knocking down 38.1% of his threes. However, his overall field goal percentage of 40.5% highlights his struggles inside the arc.

This battle of guards will be defined by efficiency. While Rogers is the superior standstill shooter, Phelps has showcased better shot selection. His ability to attack the basket and facilitate could exploit a Shockers defense that has struggled. If Rogers has an off shooting night, he lacks secondary contributions that Phelps has demonstrated with rebounds, defense and foul drawing. Containing these diverse playmakers will be vital in determining Sunday’s outcome.


NCAAB Odds/Point Spread: TBD, Total Odds: TBD

The current betting odds for the game are yet to be determined, but considering the recent form and performance, SMU might be favored. Bettors should pay close attention to the moneyline and total odds once they are released, as these will offer insights into the expected game dynamics.


SMU Mustangs Betting Trends

The Mustangs have covered the spread in 4 straight wins and are an impressive 5-1 against the number in road games this season. The over has also hit in 3 of their last 5 contests. This scoring momentum along with stingy defense during their 4-1 surge shows why the Mustangs deserve betting attention.


Wichita State Shockers Betting Trends

The Shockers recent slide has them as underdogs, going just 1-3 against the spread over their last 4 outings. However, home games have seen scoring erupt for Wichita State, with 6 of their last 11 at Charles Koch Arena going over the total. Their offense reaching 70+ points could be enough to hit the over again versus an SMU defense allowing under 70 per game during a 4-1 run.


SMU Mustangs vs. Wichita State Shockers 1/28/24 Betting Picks

Given the current form and statistics, the SMU Mustangs seem to have the upper hand in this matchup. Their consistent performance, especially against the spread, makes them a strong candidate for a straight win. However, Wichita State’s trend of high-scoring home games should not be overlooked, potentially making the over a viable option for total points.

When considering the best sportsbooks, it’s crucial to look for those offering competitive odds and a wide range of betting options. Prop bets on key players like Phelps and Rogers might also offer value, given their significant impact on their respective teams.


Free Pick and Prediction: SMU Mustangs

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