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UFC on ABC 6 Betting Prediction: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Alexander Volkov 6/22/2024

UFC on ABC 6 Betting Prediction: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Alexander Volkov 6/22/2024

As UFC on ABC 6 comes to Riyadh, its heavyweight fight between Sergei Pavlovich and Alexander Volkov will surely be one of its highlights. Pavlovich enters as the favorite with odds at -210 while Volkov holds +180 odds; their face-off promises fast-paced action as well as big implications for divisional standings. Both fighters bring years of experience into battle but it is their unique styles and recent forms which makes this match-up one of MMA latest picks.


Sergei Pavlovich vs. Alexander Volkov Game Info

When: Saturday, June 22, 2024 at 3:00 PM ET
Where: Kingdom Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia


Sergei Pavlovich Analysis

Sergei Pavlovich is famed for his devastating knockout power and boasts an exceptional striking rate, landing over eight significant strikes per minute – which speaks both to his aggressive approach as well as early finishes with his fight duration average being only 2:13. While Pavlovich boasts formidable offensive skills, particularly against grappling, his defense showed some vulnerabilities against Aspinall; similarly when facing Volkov it will be key that his strategy remain on keeping distance and capitalizing his striking prowess.

Pavlovich will pose an unique challenge to Volkov as they rely on powerful left-hand strikes from his southpaw stance to establish rhythm, and land powerful combinations before Volkov can settle in his rhythm. Although his grappling has a 75% takedown defense rating, improving it could prove pivotal to longevity within this division; his recent loss provides valuable lessons about diversity and adaptability as elements he must incorporate against such experienced fighters as Volkov. For Pavlovich himself this match represents an opportunity to demonstrate resilience as well as develop techniques further than before.


Alexander Volkov Analysis

Alexander Volkov stands 6’7″, making use of his reach and height to effectively manage distance against shorter opponents – something which has proven instrumental throughout his career. His experience in longer fights is evidenced in the form of calculated pace and ability to increase offensive output throughout fights. Volkov boasts superior striking accuracy of 57% over Pavlovich, making the most out of every opportunity and mitigating more strikes per minute while simultaneously protecting himself with his defensive skills. His victory against Tai Tuivasa demonstrated Volkov’s resilience and tactical intelligence. To beat Pavlovich effectively, Volkov must use his reach and experience to dictate the tempo of the fight at range where they excel best.

Volkov stands out in part by having both striking prowess and an effective grappling skill set; averaging almost half a takedown per fifteen minutes with 63% accuracy, this aspect of his game could play an essential role against Pavlovich whose ground play has not been as polished. By mixing takedowns or threatening takedowns Volkov could disrupt Pavlovich’s rhythm while forcing uncomfortable scenarios; his endurance should test Pavlovich further should the fight be extended past early moments; Volkov’s strategic diversity makes him a formidable opponent who exploits any misstep by their adversary.


Sergei Pavlovich vs. Alexander Volkov Stats

Pavlovich Volkov
Wins/Losses/Draws 18-2-0 37-10-0
Average Fight Time 2:13 12:43
Height 6′ 3″ 6′ 7″
Weight 257 lbs. 250 lbs.
Reach 84″ 80″
Stance Southpaw Orthodox
Strikes Landed per Min. 8.21 5.10
Striking Accuracy 48% 57%
Strikes Absorbed per Min. 4.61 3.00
Defense 55% 54%
Takedowns Average/15 min. 0.00 0.49
Takedown Accuracy 0% 63%
Takedown Defense 75% 73%
Submission Average/15 min. 0.0 0.2


Sergei Pavlovich vs. Alexander Volkov Betting Picks

After considering both fighters’ strengths and recent performances, Pavlovich may initially appear superior due to his quick striking style; however, Volkov’s experience and tactical acumen could nullify early threats from Pavlovich’s aggressive and quick striking. Pavlovich must stay wary of Volkov’s strategic fight management as this fight drags out into later rounds where Volkov capitalizes on opponents’ diminishing stamina by drawing out fights beyond initial threats.

Given their respective styles and betting odds, Volkov makes for an intriguing underdog pick. His experience, improved striking accuracy and defensive skills may edge out Pavlovich’s brute force approach and provide value bettors should consider Volkov’s advantageous odds in a matchup where his strategic prowess may prove decisive over long stretches of fight time.


Free Pick: Alexander Volkov +180


UFC on ABC 6 promises an explosive heavyweight bout between Sergei Pavlovich and Alexander Volkov that pits hard hitting against smart fighting tactics, with stakes high and odds intriguingly stacked in both players favor. Not to be missed for fans and bettors alike alike is this captivating matchup; bettors may discover opportunities on top betting websites while spectators will not want to miss this must-watch fight!

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