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NFL Super Bowl LVIII Betting Prediction: San Francisco 49ers vs. Kansas City Chiefs 2/11/2024

San Francisco 49ers (12-5) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (11-6)

The San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs are set to face off in Super Bowl LVIII on February 11th, 2024 at Allegiant Stadium. This matchup features two of the hottest teams in the NFL coming into the Super Bowl. The 49ers have won 9 of their last 11 games, while the Chiefs are on a 5-game winning streak. This should make for an exciting Super Bowl LVIII picks and prediction.

Christian McCaffrey has been leading the 49ers rushing attack since joining the team. Over his last two games, McCaffrey has averaged an impressive 5.1 average yard per carry with 4 touchdown runs and an average 94 rushing yard game average over that span. Against Chiefs defense that can be vulnerable against runs at times this season. Meanwhile, Brock Purdy has proved efficient as an efficient football rookie by completing over 60% of passes while boasting an outstanding 2:1 touchdown/interception ratio; top receiver Deebo Samuel averaged an 11.3 average catch per catch average over those same two games!

The Chiefs have one of the most dynamic rushing attacks in Isiah Pacheco, who is averaging 84.7 rushing yards per game in the playoffs on 4 yards per carry. He has excellent burst and has 3 rushing touchdowns over the Chiefs’ last 3 games. The Chiefs’ MVP Patrick Mahomes leads the passing attack, averaging nearly 240 passing yards per game in the playoffs with 4 touchdowns and no interceptions. His top receiving weapon is rookie Rashee Rice, who leads the team with 223 receiving yards in the playoffs while hauling in 12 first downs.


San Francisco 49ers vs. Kansas City Chiefs Game Info

When: Sunday, February 11, 2024 at 6:30 PM ET
Where: Allegiant Stadium
Stream: NFL Game Pass


Brock Purdy QB vs. Patrick Mahomes QB

Brock Purdy has been solid, completing 43 of 70 passes (61.4%) for 519 yards (7.4 yards per attempt) with 2 touchdowns and 1 interception over 2 games. He’s been an efficient game manager, with a respectable 87.7 passer rating. However, Mahomes has been operating at an elite level, completing 70 of 103 throws (68%) for 718 yards (7 yards per attempt) with 4 touchdowns and no picks for a stellar 100.7 rating. 

Patrick Mahomes has a significant edge over Purdy in arm strength, accuracy, and overall passing ability. He’s averaging nearly 40 more passing yards per game than Purdy on just one additional pass attempt. Mahomes also has yet to turn the ball over this postseason and has a knack for game-changing plays that Purdy cannot match. 

Purdy’s mobility and improvisational skill also set Mahomes apart when the play breaks down. While Purdy has filled in admirably for San Francisco, he is clearly overmatched in this matchup against one of the best quarterbacks in NFL history in Patrick Mahomes.


NFL Odds/Point Spread: San Francisco 49ers -128, Total Odds: 47.5

Betting odds in favor of the San Francisco 49ers reflect their slightly better regular-season record and recent performances, while total for this game stands at 47.5; betting strategies should consider both teams’ balanced attacks when making their wagers.


San Francisco 49ers Betting Trends

The 49ers are 1-4 ATS over their last 5 games, so they have struggled to cover spreads of late. However, they have gone OVER the total in 6 of their last 9 games. This indicates their games have tended to feature a lot of scoring. The 49ers are also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games, so they could be poised to cover as the favorites in Super Bowl LVIII.


Kansas City Chiefs Betting Trends

The Chiefs are currently 5-0 ATS over their last 5 games, so they have been reliable at covering spreads. However, the total has gone UNDER in 5 of their last 6 games. The Chiefs have played lower-scoring games of late, outside of their shootout victory over the Bengals. At home, the total has gone UNDER in 8 of their last 8 games. The Chiefs also have a strong 6-0 ATS record in their last 6 home games against the 49ers.


San Francisco 49ers vs. Kansas City Chiefs 2/11/24 Betting Picks

Given its thorough analysis and betting trends, this Super Bowl LVIII matchup should be closely contested. Kansas City Chiefs’ recent ATS success and San Francisco 49ers’ struggles against Kansas City suggest they may hold an edge due to Patrick Mahomes’ experience playing big games.

As for the over/under, betting on 47.5 total points makes an interesting challenge to decide. Given both teams’ offensive capabilities and recent trends, bettors might lean more heavily toward betting OVER rather than against it; bettors seeking action beyond spread betting may find value in exploring player prop bets like Mahomes and McCaffrey as potential game-winners.

This prediction forecasts an intensely competitive matchup, with the Chiefs narrowly outscoring the 49ers. Bettors should keep tabs on betting opportunities on top live betting websites to take full advantage of what promises to be an unforgettable Super Bowl LVIII experience.


Free Pick and Prediction: Kansas City Chiefs 27, San Francisco 49ers 24

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