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NFL Week 15 Betting Prediction: Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Indianapolis Colts 12/16/2023

Pittsburgh Steelers (7-6) vs. Indianapolis Colts (7-6)

In a crucial Week 15 matchup, the Pittsburgh Steelers travel to face the Indianapolis Colts, with both teams locked at an identical 7-6 record. This game, slated for Saturday, December 16, 2023, at the Lucas Oil Stadium and broadcast on NFLN, is more than just a regular season game; it’s a battle for playoff positioning. For those following NFL daily picks, this game presents an intriguing set of variables to consider, given the evenly matched nature of the two teams and their respective journeys this season.

The Steelers boast a strong rushing attack led by Najee Harris, who is averaging 4 yards per carry. Rookie receiver George Pickens has also emerged as a top target for quarterback Kenny Pickett. However, the passing game still ranks near the bottom of the league. Defensively, Pittsburgh limits opponents to just 19.4 points per game, the fifth-best mark in the NFL.

Meanwhile, the Colts offense runs through leading receivers Michael Pittman Jr. and Zack Moss. Quarterback Gardner Minshew has put up solid numbers with over 2500 yards passing and 11 touchdowns. While not an explosive unit, the Colts move the chains consistently behind a sturdy offensive line. Indy’s defense ranks 10th overall in points allowed at 20.5 per contest.


Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Indianapolis Colts Game Info

When: Saturday, December 16, 2023 at 4:30 PM ET
Where: Lucas Oil Stadium
Stream: NFL Game Pass


Kenny Pickett QB vs. Gardner Minshew QB

Kenny Pickett has shown promise in his rookie campaign but still has plenty of room to grow. While he protects the football well, his 6 passing touchdowns are far too low. Pickett must improve on converting in the red zone. His athleticism allows him to extend plays with his legs, but he sometimes holds the ball too long resulting in sacks.

Gardner Minshew has given the Colts offense stability since taking over the starting job. He makes quick decisions and gets the ball out accurately to his playmakers. Not known for having a big arm, Minshew thrives on timing patterns to routinely move the chains. He will need to challenge Pittsburgh deep at points to back up the defense.


NFL Odds/Point Spread: Indianapolis Colts -135, Total Odds: 39.5

The betting odds present the Colts as slight favorites with a -2.5 spread at -108 and a moneyline of -135. The Steelers, on the other hand, are at +2.5 -115 with a moneyline of +115. The total is set at 39.5, indicating expectations of a moderately scoring game. These odds reflect the close nature of this matchup and the difficulty in predicting an outright winner.


Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Trends

The Steelers are 13-7 against the spread (ATS) this season, including 6-1 ATS in their last 7 matchups versus the Colts. Pittsburgh is also 8-0 straight up in its last 8 games against Indy, making the Moneyline value appealing at +115 odds. The Steelers’ stout defense held the Colts to just 3 points earlier this year. The under has hit in 6 straight Pittsburgh road games as well.


Indianapolis Colts Betting Trends

Indianapolis is 4-1 ATS over its last 5 contests, indicating the team often plays tight games that come down to the number. The Colts also play high-scoring affairs recently, with 6 of their last 8 games going over the total. However, Indy has struggled with just 2 wins in its last 7 outings versus AFC North opponents. The Colts are also 0-5 straight up in their last 5 home games against the Steelers.


Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Indianapolis Colts 12/16/23 Betting Picks

Considering the statistical trends and the current form of both teams, this game is poised to be a tightly contested affair. The Steelers’ record against the Colts, particularly in Indianapolis, gives them a psychological edge. However, the Colts’ recent form cannot be ignored, making them a strong contender in this matchup.

In deciding the better pick, the Steelers’ favorable ATS record and historical dominance over the Colts make them an attractive choice, especially with the points. For prop bets and over/under, considering the trends, a slightly higher scoring game might be on the cards. However, the tight nature of the contest suggests it could go either way.

This prediction leans towards the Colts due to their recent form and home-field advantage. However, expect a close game, likely decided in the final moments. For those using top betting sites, the Steelers with the points could be an attractive option, but the Colts are predicted to edge out a narrow victory.


Free Pick and Prediction: Indianapolis Colts 21, Pittsburgh Steelers 20

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