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MLB Betting Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs 7/4/2024

Philadelphia Phillies (55-29) vs. Chicago Cubs (39-46)

As the fireworks of Independence Day prepare to light up the sky, a different kind of spectacle is set to unfold at Wrigley Field this July 4th, with the Philadelphia Phillies clashing against the Chicago Cubs. With the Phillies leading the pack with a 55-29 record, they come into this game with impressive standings, indicating a potentially dominant performance. Set for a 2:20 PM ET start and broadcasted nationally on MLBN, this matchup promises to deliver all the thrills of winning MLB picks as both teams strive to chalk up another win in their ledger.

The Philadelphia Phillies are not just good; currently, they are one of the best teams in the MLB. Their on-base plus .258 and their slug .419 tells that this is a team you do not want to mess with because even the bottom-seaters can hit. They hit for power with 98 homers demonstrated and solidified by the 3.04 ERA and 1.12 WHIP while at the plate on the pitcher’s side. That the team had a relatively better performance with a record of 19-18 against the spread in the road games increases the chances of a tough game.

On the other hand the Chicago Cubs have had what could be described as a very poor season by any standards going by the fact that they have registered a dismal 39-46. Namely, the team .230 batting average and .370 slugging indicate the difficulties that the team might experience in delivering constant offense production. Nevertheless, their team 3.94 ERA and 1.27 WHIP show that their pitching staff has kept them in games, though the team failed to capitalize on them. The Cubs will have to grab all the possible home advantage that Wrigley Field has to offer to be on the right side of things.


Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs Game Info

When: Thursday, July 4, 2024 at 2:20 PM ET
Where: Wrigley Field
Stream: MLB.TV


Cristopher Sanchez (6-3 W-L, 2.41 ERA) vs. Jameson Taillon (4-4 W-L, 3.03 ERA)

Cristopher Sanchez has been phenomenal for the Phillies in this long season that we have witnessed. More specifically, his 2.41 ERA and whip of 1.19 while pitching 93.1 innings also indicate that he has been effective at preventing the opponents from scoring. Sanchez’s strong suits are that he can keep pitch counts steady and has 79 K’s this year or season or however long it has been. His want of home runs also witnesses this, with him allowing only 1 homerun, this will be highly beneficial especially in Wrigley field that awards many batters with home runs.

On the other side of the aisle, keeping a perfect face for the Cubs, Jameson Taillon has a ERA 3.03 and a WHIP 1.24. They put up an average win-loss record of 4-4, However, in terms of pitching statistics Taveras presents himself as a pitcher who should not be underestimated. Taillon surely showed good control, striking out 58 individuals and walking only 17; this will be crucial in dealing with the highly-phlegmatic Phillies players.


MLB Odds/Point Spread: TBD, Total Odds: TBD

Currently, the betting odds for the game remain TBD. However, given the Phillies’ stronger record, it is likely they will enter the game as favorites. Bettors should keep an eye on the moneyline and spread as they are established, considering the potential for a close game influenced by the starting pitchers’ duel.


Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Phillies’ recent form shows a team comfortable in its skin, going 3-2 in their last five games. Despite being 2-3 against the spread in the same period, their overall performance on the road offers a hint at their resilience. With totals going OVER in two of their last five, the trend suggests a capability to push runs across the plate, a crucial factor in high-stakes games.


Chicago Cubs Betting Trends

The Cubs mirror the Phillies in their last five outcomes, with a 2-3 record both straight up and against the spread. This consistency points to a team struggling to tip the balance in their favor. Like the Phillies, their totals have also gone OVER in two of their last five, indicating that while they can score, keeping other teams at bay has been challenging.


Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs 7/4/24 Betting Picks

Based on the statistical analysis and team performances, the Phillies appear to be the more balanced team coming into this matchup. Their ability to combine solid pitching with a potent offensive lineup gives them the edge over the Cubs, who have struggled for consistency.

For bettors looking to make informed decisions, focusing on the total runs might be a safer bet, given both teams’ recent OVER trends. When considering prop bets, looking at individual performances like strikeouts or home runs could add value, especially with potent hitters and strong pitchers on display. Ultimately, checking out the best sportsbooks will provide more tailored betting options as game day approaches.


Free Pick and Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies 5, Chicago Cubs 3

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