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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks 10/19/23 MLB NLCS Game 3 Odds, Picks, and Predictions

Philadelphia Phillies (90-72) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (84-78)

Major League Baseball postseason action is heating up as Philadelphia Phillies boasting an impressive 90-72 record will face Arizona Diamondbacks with an 84-78 mark in Game 3 of the National League Championship Series. Coming into this pivotal clash, Philadelphia have held onto their lead 2-0 to lead fans with excitement as Chase Field will buzz with anticipation to witness whether Phillies continue their momentum or whether Diamondbacks make a comeback attempt – let’s delve deeper into this matchup and predict an MLB winning pick!

The Phillies have displayed an outstanding season. Averaging 0.256 at bat, their powerful lineup has scored 796 runs with 220 homers hit in 2017. Furthermore, their reliable pitching staff boasts an ERA of 4.02 which adds another layer to this success story.

On the other side of the coin, the Diamondbacks have proven they are worthy opponents despite being overshadowed by their counterparts in this series. Their 0.25 batting average has allowed for 746 runs scored and 161 homers to be hit; their pitchers, however, have struggled somewhat and posted a higher team ERA (4.48), possibly an indication of weakness when facing off against Phillies’ potent offense.


Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Game Info

When: Thursday, October 19, 2023 at 5:07 PM ET
Where: Chase Field
Stream: MLB.TV


Ranger Suarez (4-6, 4.18 ERA) vs. Brandon Pfaadt (3-9, 5.72 ERA)

Ranger Suarez, Philadelphia’s chosen pitcher in this showdown, has had an up-and-down season. While his numbers don’t immediately jump off the page – his win-loss record stands at 4-6 with an ERA of 4.18 – they hide an outstanding pitcher who, over 125 innings pitched thus far, has shown flashes of brilliance: striking out 119 batters while recovering quickly from difficult situations. Suarez relies heavily on his slider pitch which has bewildered many hitters while command is key: consistently placing pitches without ever losing control – something which has allowed 48 batters over this season – could help take down Phoenix Diamondbacks lineup.

On the Diamondbacks side of things, Brandon Pfaadt will represent them on the mound. Pfaadt has had an interesting year; with 3-9 win/loss record and 5.72 ERA numbers suggesting an experienced pitcher who has seen his share of struggles this year. Over 96 innings pitched, this young pitcher has surrendered 109 hits and given up 22 homers; yet his deceptive changeup has caught many hitters off-guard and allowed for much success in pitching. Pfaadt will need to ensure his pitchers remain unpredictable, avoiding becoming predictable and providing enough variations that won’t allow the Phillies easy scoring opportunities; otherwise, this game could become less competitive than expected.


MLB Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia Phillies -127, Total Odds: 9

Betting experts favor Philadelphia in this matchup with their -127 moneyline advantage, likely attributable to recent form, dominance in series history and better overall season statistics. However, with an expected total score of 9, this game could see plenty of scoring action – in line with recent trends from both teams.


Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

Philadelphia has been on an incredible run lately, posting an 8-1 SU record in their last 9 games – and an unbeaten 5-0 mark against Arizona in their past five matchups (and 4-1). These statistics demonstrate Philadelphia’s dominance and momentum leading up to Game 3.


Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends

Even as they struggle against the Phillies, the Diamondbacks have shown resilience by going 5-2 SU over their last seven games and 7-3 at home over their past 10. While 1-4 against Phillies has been alarming, especially given that total has often exceeded with many recent matches between these teams, this crucial matchup will aim to limit runs scored against them by their opponent.


Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks 10/19/23 Betting Picks

Given their current form and historical matchups, the Phillies appear to be far ahead of their rivals the Diamondbacks. Their impressive record against Arizona combined with strong team stats makes them clear winners.

However, postseason baseball can be unpredictable; Arizona holds home field advantage and could use smart strategy to take down Philadelphia. Top online betting enthusiasts may favor picking Phillies over Arizona as their safe bet; but taking into account recent trends might warrant considering betting over.


Free Pick and Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies 6, Arizona Diamondbacks 4.


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