Detroit Lions (8-3) vs. New Orleans Saints (5-6)
At stake in Week 13 NFL action is the Detroit Lions taking on New Orleans Saints at Caesars Superdome this Sunday is an extremely intriguing matchup – both teams looking for victory to keep alive playoff hopes or turn around their season, making this meeting significant for winning football pick enthusiasts.
Led by a resurgent ground game from Jared Goff, the Lions head into December as one of the NFL’s hottest teams. Running back David Montgomery has powered a rushing attach averaging over 5 yards per carry during Detroit’s current 4-game win streak. The Saints allow the 7th most rushing yards per game this season, setting up Montgomery for another productive day. Expect Montgomery to eclipse 75 rushing yards for the 6th straight week.
Meanwhile, Saints running back Alvin Kamara has struggled to get on track in an injury-riddled season. Kamara has yet to top 70 rushing yards in a game as New Orleans ranks dead-last in the NFL averaging under 100 rushing yards per contest. Their one-dimensional offense has left veteran QB Derek Carr exposed behind a porous offensive line that’s allowed the 6th most sacks in 2022. Expect the Lions’ 10th ranked scoring defense to feast on Carr and the one-note Saints.
Detroit Lions vs. New Orleans Saints Game Info
|Sunday, December 3, 2023 at 1:00 PM ET
|NFL Game Pass
Jared Goff QB vs. Derek Carr QB
Jared Goff pilots a Detroit offense averaging the 6th most points per game (25.5). Goff ranks top 10 in both passing yards (3075) and TD passes (18) while reducing turnovers that plagued his 2021 season. He’s developed quick chemistry with breakout rookie WR Jameson Williams. Expect the Goff-Williams connection to produce at last one touchdown grab against the Saints 21st ranked pass defense.
Meanwhile, Derek Carr has failed to correct ongoing accuracy issues in his first season with New Orleans. While he’s avoided catastrophic mistakes, Carr is averaging just 6.7 yards per pass attempt. The conservative Saints passing game ranks 31st overall, which won’t cut it against Detroit’s fierce pass rush. Expect another mundane performance from Carr facing constant pressure.
NFL Odds/Point Spread: Detroit Lions -154, Total Odds: 44.5
Detroit as 3.5-point road favorites despite New Orleans’ relative success at home this season. The total is set at 44.5 points. Based on trends and matchup advantages, the Lions present strong value to cover a sub-4 point spread against a struggling Saints offense.
Detroit Lions Betting Trends
Detroit is an impressive 15-5 against the spread over their last 20 games overall. The Lions also have a sparkling 5-1 ATS record over their past 6 road matchups. Detroit is further aided by productive trends in this head-to-head series, going 7-2 straight up in the past 9 meetings with New Orleans. With the Lions entering Sunday’s contest as one of the NFL’s hottest teams, these trends illustrate why Detroit is a justifiable road favorite this week.
New Orleans Saints Betting Trends
While the Superdome is typically a difficult venue for visitors, that has not been the case in 2022. New Orleans has posted an abysmal 1-5 ATS record across their last 6 games overall, including a winless 0-6 ATS clip in home matchups this season. The Saints have also struggled mightily against NFC North opponents, going just 3-6 straight up while allowing over 24 points per game. Considering Detroit’s top-5 scoring offense, New Orleans’ poor defensive trends don’t bode well for their chances on Sunday afternoon.
Detroit Lions vs. New Orleans Saints 12/3/2023 Betting Picks
Considering the data and trends, the Detroit Lions appear to be the stronger team both offensively and defensively. Their record and performance in key areas give them the edge in this matchup. The Saints’ struggles, particularly in covering spreads and their less consistent offense, tilt the scales in Detroit’s favor.
For bettors looking at top sportsbooks, the Lions seem to be the better pick, with a strong case for covering the spread. The total going over might also be a viable option, given Detroit’s offensive capabilities and the Saints’ tendency for higher-scoring games against Detroit. Prop bets on key players like Jared Goff or Amon-Ra St. Brown could also provide value, considering their impressive statistics this season..