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NFL Week 17 Betting Prediction: New York Jets vs. Cleveland Browns 12/28/2023

New York Jets (6-9) vs. Cleveland Browns (10-5)

As the NFL season reaches its conclusion, Thursday’s Week 17 match between the New York Jets and Cleveland Browns at Cleveland Browns Stadium has caught fans and bettors’ interest alike. As both teams attempt to find consistency while the Browns display impressive form, this contest marks an important turning point for both squads – not to mention free NFL picks discussions, as fans debate potential outcomes and upsets of this contest.

The New York Jets’ season has been marked by challenges, most notably their offensive performance which often fails to seize available opportunities. Nevertheless, notable contributions have emerged both rushing and receiving departments – Breece Hall leading with 732 yards gained and four touchdowns through 15 games and Garrett Wilson excelling with 958 receiving yards and three scores respectively.

Conversely, the Cleveland Browns have implemented an efficient and thorough offensive strategy. Jerome Ford is an exceptional rusher with 743 yards and four touchdowns; Amari Cooper is a key part of their receiving corps, having amassed 1250 receiving yards and five touchdowns himself; both create significant challenges to opposing defenses while giving Cleveland an advantage in terms of both running and receiving capabilities.


New York Jets vs. Cleveland Browns Game Info

When: Thursday, December 28, 2023 at 8:15 PM ET
Where: Cleveland Browns Stadium
Stream: NFL Game Pass


Zach Wilson QB vs. Joe Flacco QB

Zach Wilson has shown glimpses of promise during his rookie campaign, displaying strong arm talent and off-platform throws that display athleticism and nimbleness. Unfortunately, his accuracy and decision making has been inconsistent at times, leaving Wilson struggling with ball security at times. Wilson has the potential to make spectacular plays both inside and outside the pocket; if he can establish early rhythm with pass rusher Jonathan Gray and make quick reads against their pass rush then Wilson has enough arm strength to challenge Cleveland’s secondary downfield.

Joe Flacco enters this game looking refreshed and confident, demonstrating precision passing ability and excellent pre-snap command of his offense. He excels at using his size and pocket mobility to buy time before hitting receivers with pinpoint ball placement. Flacco and Cooper share an undeniable rapport, devastating defenses from above with precise ball placement from either bullets or touch passes while reading coverages forces defensive coordinators into trying to disguise their intentions before snap.


NFL Odds/Point Spread: Cleveland Browns -350, Total Odds: 36

The betting odds favor the Browns significantly, with a -350 moneyline and a -7 point spread. This reflects their superior record and recent form. The total odds for the game are set at 36, suggesting a relatively low-scoring affair, which aligns with the defensive capabilities of both teams.


New York Jets Betting Trends

The Jets trends paint the picture of a struggling team that has had issues scoring points and covering spreads recently. They have gone under the total in many games due to ineffective offense, and have lost eight of their last eleven on the road. Backing them against the spread or on the moneyline looks dicey based on these trends. However, their solid 7-2 SU record against the Browns shows they could keep this game closer than expected.


Cleveland Browns Betting Trends

The Browns recent hot streak is reflected in strong betting trends, with covers in six of their last eight games overall. They have also gone over the total frequently thanks to the revitalized offense. Cleveland has been especially dominant at home, covering five straight games at FirstEnergy Stadium. The only real negative trend is their 1-4 ATS record in their last five home matchups against the Jets


New York Jets vs. Cleveland Browns 12/28/23 Betting Picks

Considering the data and trends, my final thoughts lean towards a Browns victory, but not without a tough fight from the Jets. The Jets have historically performed well against the Browns, which could see them covering the spread. However, the Browns’ overall form and home advantage make them the safer bet for a straight win.

In terms of prop bets and over/under, the under seems a prudent choice given both teams’ defensive capabilities and recent trends. Betting on individual player performances, especially focusing on the Browns’ key receivers, could also be lucrative. For those looking at top sportsbooks, it’s wise to compare odds for potential discrepancies that could offer additional value.


Free Pick and Prediction: Cleveland Browns 21, New York Jets 14

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