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NFL Week 15 Betting Prediction: New York Giants vs. New Orleans Saints 12/17/2023

New York Giants (5-8) vs. New Orleans Saints (6-7)

In Week 15 of the NFL, the New York Giants, holding a 5-8 record, travel to face the New Orleans Saints, who stand at 6-7. This game, set for Sunday at the Caesars Superdome, promises to be a crucial battle for both teams as they strive to improve their standings. Kicking off at 1:00 PM ET and broadcast on FOX, this matchup is attracting significant attention from those seeking NFL picks and predictions, as both teams look to assert their playoff aspirations in a tightly contested season.

The Giants enter this game desperate for a win after losing five of their last six. However, they’ve played better on the road this season and have a dynamic weapon in Saquon Barkley capable of taking over any game. Saquon Barkley rebounded nicely last week from a rare fumble by rushing for 110 yards on 18 carries against the Eagles. He’s topped 100 yards on the ground three times in the last five games and will be leaned upon heavily yet again. The Giants average just 159 passing yards per game, third-fewest in the NFL, so getting Barkley going will be critical. Wideout Darius Slayton has scored four touchdowns in the last five contests as Daniel Jones’s preferred red zone target.

The veteran Saints need to defend their home field if they want to remain in playoff contention in the NFC South. Signs point to this being a competitive battle that could come down to the wire. The Saints offense flows through the resurgent Alvin Kamara, who’s recorded over 100 yards from scrimmage in three of his last five healthy games. New Orleans will likely try to control time of possession by feeding Kamara carries and short passes. Veteran receiver Chris Olave has been a revelation with 918 receiving yards, but the vertical passing game can stall at times. The Saints average the fourth-fewest passing yards per game (192.5), so Kamara may need another 25+ touch performance to upset the Giants.


New York Giants vs. New Orleans Saints Game Info

When: Sunday, December 17, 2023 at 1:00 PM ET
Where: Caesars Superdome
Stream: NFL Game Pass


Daniel Jones QB vs. Derek Carr QB

Daniel Jones has seen a dip in production recently with just three passing touchdowns versus four interceptions over his last five games. However, he’s limited turnovers all season and will need to avoid drive-killing mistakes against the Saints’ ball-hawking defense. Jones is also a threat with his legs, rushing for over 400 yards and three scores. He should have opportunities to connect on chunk plays with Darius Slayton against the Saints’ 18th-ranked pass defense.

Derek Carr has provided stability but lacks game-changing upside in his first season with the Saints. He’s averaging just 221 passing yards per contest with 13 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Carr struggles when pressured but should have time behind New Orleans’ sturdy offensive line. His job will be to distribute efficiently and keep the chains moving by getting Alvin Kamara involved. Limiting turnovers will be key for Carr to guide the Saints to victory.


NFL Odds/Point Spread: New Orleans Saints -265, Total Odds: 37

The betting odds favor the Saints, reflecting their slightly better record and home-field advantage. The spread of 6.5 points indicates a belief in the Saints’ ability to control the game. The total odds set at 37 points suggest expectations of a relatively low-scoring affair, possibly reflecting both teams’ offensive struggles.


New York Giants Betting Trends

The Giants are 1-5 straight up over their last six road games, but they’ve gone over the total in seven of their last eight trips to New Orleans. New York is also a profitable 4-1 against the spread over its last five December contests. While the under has hit frequently for the Giants lately, their high-volume rushing attack and red zone efficiency.


New Orleans Saints Betting Trends

New Orleans has gone 1-7 against the spread at home this season and 1-6 ATS over its last seven versus NFC opponents. The Saints clearly play up or down to competition, evident in bad home losses to bottom feeders like Carolina and Pittsburgh. Their inconsistent offense also makes it difficult to trust New Orleans laying over a field goal. 


New York Giants vs. New Orleans Saints 12/17/23 Betting Picks

Analyzing both teams, the Saints seem to have a slight edge, particularly with their more consistent quarterback play and home-field advantage. The Giants will need to rely heavily on Barkley’s rushing ability and hope for an improved performance from Jones.

In betting terms, the Saints are likely the safer pick, especially considering their overall performance and the Giants’ struggles on the road. Prop bets on individual player performances, especially for running backs and key receivers, could be interesting. The over/under is a tougher decision, but given the trends, the under might be more likely.

For those interested in placing wagers, top live betting websites should offer a variety of options, including spreads, moneylines, and totals, for this NFL Week 15 matchup.


Free Pick and Prediction: New Orleans Saints 24, New York Giants 17

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