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NFL Week 12 Betting Prediction: New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons 11/26/2023

New Orleans Saints (5-5) vs. Atlanta Falcons (4-6)

Week 12 of the NFL season brings with it an intriguing matchup, featuring New Orleans Saints at 5-5 facing Atlanta Falcons who sit just behind at 4-6. Set for Sunday at Mercedes-Benz Stadium and broadcast by FOX, this NFC South rivalry game promises to deliver plenty of drama while providing updates for latest NFL picks.

The Saints’ offensive efforts this season have been led by quarterback Derek Carr and key playmakers like running back Alvin Kamara and wide receiver Chris Olave. Kamara has been an effective force on the ground game, amassing 388 yards over 7 games while maintaining a modest average yards per attempt (3.7). Olave made significant contributions as a wide receiver by catching 56 passes for 657 yards; showing his ability to create plays downfield. Together these playmakers have formed an efficient offensive approach, mixing together consistent ground play with effective aerial assault strategy; yet this versatility must become more powerful when facing more formidable defenses.

The Falcons offense led by quarterback Desmond Ridder has demonstrated both promise and inconsistencies. Bijan Robinson has been an outstanding performer in the running game, amassing 612 yards over 10 games while also breaking tackles effectively and creating yards after contact for extra yards after contact. At receiver, Drake London has become a reliable target, amassing 474 yards on 40 receptions – while these numbers demonstrate movement, they need more consistency in passing game performance to elevate offensive production.


New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons Game Info

When: Sunday, November 26, 2023 at 1:00 PM ET
Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Stream: NFL Game Pass


Derek Carr QB vs. Desmond Ridder QB

Derek Carr of the Saints has enjoyed an impressive season so far, posting a 65.9% completion rate and 2231 passing yards over 10 games. Carr has managed games effectively while minimizing mistakes; scoring 10 touchdowns against just four interceptions to date. Nonetheless, 21 sacks against Carr is evidence of his high degree of pressure that requires improved protection and faster decision-making skills to make up for.

On the Falcons side, Desmond Ridder has shown flashes of brilliance while struggling with consistency. While his 65.4% completion rate and 1740 passing yards are impressive, with equal numbers of touchdowns and interceptions (6), Ridder needs to improve both his decision-making and play execution to lead his team towards an essential division victory. Hence the quarterback battle between Carr and Ridder will play an essential part in this game’s outcome.


NFL Odds/Point Spread: New Orleans Saints -110, Total Odds: 41.5

The betting odds are closely matched, with both teams at a -110 moneyline, indicating an evenly contested game. The spread is a mere 0.5 point in favor of the Falcons, reflecting the competitive nature of this matchup. The total set at 41.5 points suggests expectations of a moderately scoring game.


New Orleans Saints Betting Trends

The Saints have struggled against the spread in recent games, going 1-4 against it over their past five. Yet their record against Atlanta stands out, going 6-1 straight up (SU). Their road performance against them stands out too – winning their last five meetings at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.


Atlanta Falcons Betting Trends

The Falcons have struggled recently, going 1-8 against the spread in their last nine games. At home against New Orleans they have struggled mightily; losing five straight home matches against them and several going UNDER total. It appears they may be having difficulty scoring against their division rivals.


New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons 11/26/23 Betting Picks

Analysis of team performances and betting trends indicates this game will likely be close, with both teams possessing strengths and weaknesses they can exploit. The Saints may offer an attractive pick due to their balanced offense and historic dominance over Atlanta Falcons; however, do not underestimate Atlanta’s potential for big plays through rushing attack!

Due to the close nature of this matchup, those interested in best live betting could find additional value from in-game wagering on over/under totals or halftime scores during play. Paying attention to key players such as Kamara and Robinson during gameplay would also prove crucial when making betting decisions during live wagering sessions.


Free Pick and Prediction: New Orleans Saints 24, Atlanta Falcons 20

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