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NFL Week 18 Betting Prediction: Minnesota Vikings vs. Detroit Lions 1/7/2024

Minnesota Vikings (7-9) vs. Detroit Lions (-11.5)

The tension is palpable as the Minnesota Vikings, holding a 7-9 record, prepare to face off against the formidable Detroit Lions in the NFL’s Week 18 showdown. Scheduled for Sunday, this matchup at the Ford Field is not just a game; it’s a testament to strategy, skill, and the relentless pursuit of victory. Fans and bettors alike, eager for winning Super Bowl picks, are keenly analyzing every angle of this clash.

The Vikings have had a mixed offensive performance this season. Led by Alexander Mattison’s steady but unspectacular running game of 173 attempts for 676 yards on 173 attempts and zero touchdowns is cause for concern; Justin Jefferson stands out as an exception with 56 receptions for 882 yards and four touchdowns through just 9 games, providing them with hope that could turn this matchup around in their favor.

Detroit Lions offense has shown more consistency. Jared Goff has been an effective quarterback, completing 67% of his 573 attempts with an impressive 67% completion rate and 4255 yards passing. David Montgomery has been an amazing force as their running back with 975 rushing yards from 209 attempts and 12 touchdowns; Amon-Ra St Brown has proven their depth with 112 receptions for 1371 yards and 9 touchdowns; this demonstrates their team depth.


Minnesota Vikings vs. Detroit Lions Game Info

When: Sunday, January 7, 2024, at 1:00 PM ET
Where: Ford Field
Stream: NFL Game Pass


Kirk Cousins QB vs. Jared Goff QB

The Minnesota Vikings have struggled to find consistency on offense, and quarterback Kirk Cousins shoulders much of the blame. Cousins has completed 69.5 percent of his passes, while throwing for 2,331 yards, 18 touchdowns and 5 interceptions over 16 games. His passer rating sits at a mediocre 103.8. Cousins has shown flashes this season, including a 300-yard, 3-touchdown performance in Week 11. However, he has been held under 225 passing yards in four of his last six starts. Issues with pass protection have hindered the veteran at times, as Cousins has been sacked 17 times. Still, his questionable decision-making and inaccurate throws have stalled a number of Minnesota’s drives lately. 

On the other side, Lions quarterback Jared Goff will look to continue his MVP-level campaign. Goff has enjoyed a renaissance under head coach Dan Campbell, with career highs in passing yards (4,255) and touchdowns (28) this season. He has been in command of Detroit’s top-ranked offense, spreading the ball efficiently to his dynamic playmakers. Goff has also taken better care of the football, cutting last season’s interception total nearly in half so far. With the playoffs looming, he will use Sunday’s rivalry matchup as a tune-up heading into the win-or-go-home format. 


NFL Odds/Point Spread: Detroit Lions -175, Total Odds: 45.5

The betting odds are leaning towards the Lions, with a -175 moneyline and a 3-point spread favoring them. The total odds are set at 45.5, indicating expectations of a moderately high-scoring game. Bettors should consider the Lions’ recent form and their home-field advantage in this matchup.


Minnesota Vikings Betting Trends

The Vikings come into this matchup struggling, with just one straight up win in their last six games. They have also failed to cover the spread in any of their previous six matchups with the Lions. On the road this season, Minnesota’s games have tended to go under the total, doing so in five of their last seven away contests. However, when playing in Detroit, the over has hit in five of the Vikings’ last six road games against the Lions. 


Detroit Lions Betting Trends

The Lions enter Week 18 on a hot streak, covering the spread in four of their previous five games. Detroit’s games have also been high-scoring lately, with six of their last eight contests going over the set total. Straight up, the Lions have won 13 of their last 18 overall. When hosting the Vikings recently, the over has hit six times in Detroit’s seven home games. Overall at Ford Field this season, the Lions are 5-1 straight up in their last six contests. 


Minnesota Vikings vs. Detroit Lions 1/7/24 Betting Picks

In this high-stakes game, the Lions seem to have an edge, especially considering their recent form and home advantage. The Vikings, while capable of upsets, will need to significantly step up their game, particularly in their offensive strategies.

When choosing the better pick, the Lions appear to be a safer bet, especially considering their ATS record and home performance. Prop bets could focus on individual player performances, like Jefferson’s receiving yards or Montgomery’s rushing yards. The over/under bet is tricky, but given both teams’ trends, leaning towards the over might be worthwhile. Remember to consult the best betting websites for the latest odds and insights.


Free Pick and Prediction: Detroit Lions 27, Minnesota Vikings 20

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