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MLB Betting Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres 6/20/2024

Milwaukee Brewers (42-29) vs. San Diego Padres (37-38)

As the Milwaukee Brewers prepare to face off against the San Diego Padres at Petco Park on June 20, 2024, the buzz around this matchup is palpable among top betting sites. The Brewers, boasting a solid 42-29 record, are coming into this game with a slight edge in the standings over the Padres, who sit close to the .500 mark at 37-38. Set to begin at 9:40 PM ET and broadcast on MLBN, this game promises to showcase the talents and strategic nuances that define mid-season baseball.

The Milwaukee Brewers have shown impressive on-field performance this season, evident by their positive win-loss record. Thanks to a team batting average of .254 and impressive slugging percentage of .401, they’ve amassed 344 runs this year (74 homers), along with an excellent pitching staff which boasts an ERA/WHIP combo of 3.72/1.24 that keeps opponents to just a batting average of .239–all helping propel them towards midpoint!

Conversely, the San Diego Padres display impressive statistics despite their near even record. Their slightly better batting average (.269) and matching slugging percentage of .401 make them hard to ignore; with 656 hits and 77 homers over their tenure so far this season alone! Unfortunately however, their pitching has shown vulnerabilities – an ERA of 4.50 and WHIP of 1.24 have both contributed to inconsistent performances this season.


Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres Game Info

When: Thursday, June 20, 2024 at 9:40 PM ET
Where: Petco Park
Stream: MLB.TV


Bryse Wilson (4-3, 3.84 ERA) vs. Adam Mazur (0-2, 7.82 ERA)

Bryse Wilson has established himself as an integral member of Milwaukee Brewers pitching rotation this season, consistently managing games effectively to post an ERA of 3.84 over 63.1 innings pitched. Wilson boasts 50 strikeouts to go along with his modest walk rate for an effective pitching style that minimizes scoring opportunities against his opposition despite permitting 9 homers (WHIP of 1.25 indicates this fact). This matchup could prove especially significant given that Wilson excels away games; given Brewers’ stellar road record! 

Adam Mazur has experienced significant difficulty since making his San Diego Padres debut, suffering with an impressive 7.82 ERA and 2.05 WHIP over 12.2 innings pitched. These statistics underscore his difficulty controlling the game as evidenced by equal numbers of hits and walks (13 each), suggesting an inability to command his pitches effectively and increase risk when on the mound due to base runner penetration; performance against Milwaukee will be crucial as Mazur attempts to find his rhythm and decrease hits and walks.


MLB Odds/Point Spread: TBD, Total Odds: TBD

Betting odds have yet to be finalized in this matchup; however, given Milwaukee’s more consistent performance versus Padres’ struggles on the mound, bettors should keep an eye out for updates as new odds become available and consider Milwaukee’s impressive road record against spread bettors.


Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Brewers have proven effective on the road this season, posting an impressive 21-16 record against the spread for away games. While their record may indicate resilience at times (3-5 against spread in last five), totals have gone OVER in 20 of 34 home games they’ve hosted indicating more high scoring matches which could alter betting strategies for this matchup.


San Diego Padres Betting Trends

The Padres have recently struggled against the spread, going winless against it in five straight games (0-5 against). On the road however they fare better (22-13). Their inconsistent pitching could play a pivotal role as bettors judge their chances; 20 of their 38 home games featured totals that went OVER during that span!


Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres 6/20/24 Betting Picks

After considering both teams’ performances and statistics, the Milwaukee Brewers appear poised to capitalize on San Diego Padres pitching deficiencies and exploit them against them. While their ability to put up a fight remains viable, Milwaukee’s more reliable pitching might give the advantage to them in this match-up.

When it comes to MLB betting picks, Milwaukee appears to be an easy bet given their strong record away from home. Bettors might look into prop bets focusing on individual performances of Brewers’ hitters against an underperforming Padres pitcher; and over/under betting could also attract attention given both teams tend toward high scoring contests.


Free Pick and Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers 5, San Diego Padres 3


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