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MLB Betting Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies 7/11/2024

Los Angeles Dodgers (55-36) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (58-32)

The upcoming MLB clash at Citizens Bank Park features two formidable teams, the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Philadelphia Phillies, set to battle on Thursday, July 11, 2024. The Dodgers, with a strong 55-36 record, face off against the Phillies, who boast an impressive 58-32 standing. This matchup not only highlights the strengths and potential of each team as they push through the season but also offers intriguing options for MLB free picks today. With both teams experiencing similar trajectories in their last few games, this game is set to be a pivotal point in their season narratives.

The Dodgers have shown good performance throughout the season and their overall team numbers considerably back this up. When it comes to average they stand at .255 with a proud slugging percentage of .440, a total of 458 runs and 124 home runs to their credit. A 3.61 of ERA and 1.16 of WHIP prove that they are capable of pressing on the cruciality of overcoming pressure. But the recent games present a small vulnerability where the Dodgers have lost 3 out of 5 of their games meaning they have some issues to sort.

On the other hand, the Phillies replicate this with a tad superior hitting statistics, that include a .258 batting average besides reaching 106 home runs. Their pitchers are marginally ahead of the Dodgers with better statistics that include ERA of 3.26 and WHIP of 1.13. However, like the Dodgers, the Phillies are not the most outstanding team in recent games; they perform 2/3 in the last 5 games and have been poor both at home and out.


Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies Game Info

When: Thursday, July 11, 2024 at 6:05 PM ET
Where: Citizens Bank Park
Stream: MLB.TV


Landon Knack (1-2, 2.86 ERA) vs. Aaron Nola (10-4, 3.48 ERA)

Landon Knack who has 1-2 record, has a good 2.86 ERA and even better 0.98 WHIP. Despite 34.2 innings of work Knack displays excellent control issuing only 9 free passes and 25 hits, while fanning 31 batters. His low ERA and WHIP in the appearances he has made might be a hint that he could be the key to quelling the Phillies’ offense while his vulnerability to homers is an asset the Phillies could exploit.

Aaron Nola, another Phillies’ starting pitcher, has better stats as he records 10-4 with a 3.48 ERA having pitched 113.2 innings. He pitches with great control having 25 walks and 107 strikeouts to himself. Nola’s experience as well as capacity to rise to occasion will be more important when facing such a pedigree team as the Dodgers. This could probably be attributed to the slightly higher ERA than Knack, however, the consistency gives the Phillies a solid starting pitcher.


MLB Odds/Point Spread: TBD, Total Odds: TBD

As betting lines remain TBD, analyzing the pitchers and current team trends will be key in determining the odds closer to game day. The performance of both starters and recent team trends suggest a potentially close contest with fluctuating odds.


Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends

The Dodgers have shown resilience on the road, maintaining a positive record against the spread (23-20). Despite recent struggles, their ability to go OVER in totals, evidenced in 4 of their last 5 games, suggests a trend towards high-scoring games, a factor for bettors to consider when looking at the total points line.


Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

Similarly, the Phillies have kept a nearly even record on the road against the spread (22-21). Their recent totals also leaned towards OVER, happening in 3 of their last 5 games. These trends suggest that, like the Dodgers, the Phillies are involved in games where high scores are more common, which might influence betting on the over/under.


Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies 7/11/24 Betting Picks

Considering the similar paths and challenges both teams face, this game is poised to be tightly contested. The decision on whom to pick could well depend on the day’s dynamics and any last-minute lineup changes. Given the strengths of both teams’ offenses and the solid, albeit slightly vulnerable, pitching on display, a high-scoring game could be anticipated.

When choosing a side, the slightly superior pitching stats of the Phillies might offer them a slight edge, particularly with Nola’s consistency. Additionally, for those looking into prop bets or live game adjustments, checking the performance of both teams’ bullpens and any shifts in momentum could offer value, making this matchup a top candidate for top live betting website options.


Free Pick and Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies 5, Los Angeles Dodgers 4

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