Los Angeles Chargers (2-2) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (5-1)
The NFL season is in full swing, and this upcoming matchup promises to be a thrilling encounter between two prominent AFC West rivals. The Los Angeles Chargers, standing at 2-2, are set to face off against the formidable Kansas City Chiefs, boasting a record of 5-1. With the mid-season mark approaching, this pivotal contest will undoubtedly shape the postseason prospects for both teams. If you’re scouting for NFL free picks today, continue reading for an in-depth analysis of this Week 7 showdown.
Joshua Kelley stands out in the Chargers’ offense as an important contributor in their running game, amassing 57 rushing attempts and 207 yards while averaging an impressive 3.6 yards per carry over four games. Keenan Allen has become Coach Herbert’s go-to receiving target; in four games alone he amassed 434 receiving yards on 35 receptions at an impressive average catch distance of 12.4 yards per catch, showing his ability to stretch the field and maintain long-distance threats.
On the Kansas City Chiefs side of things, Isiah Pacheco leads their rushing attack. With 87 attempts totaling 387 yards at an average of 4.4 yards per attempt and an impressive average of 11.7 yards per reception average (plus notable expertise at gaining yards post catch), he has become an integral component of Mahomes’ offensive toolbox.
Los Angeles Chargers vs. Kansas City Chiefs Game Info
|Sunday, October 22, 2023 at 4:25 PM ET
|GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
|NFL Game Pass
Justin Herbert QB vs. Patrick Mahomes QB
In recent games, Justin Herbert has demonstrated exemplary proficiency as the Chargers’ quarterback. With a 71% completion rate from 145 passing attempts, Herbert has accumulated 1,106 yards over a span of four games. Averaging 276.5 yards per game and boasting seven touchdowns, Herbert’s aptitude, particularly in high-pressure situations, stands out. Furthermore, his meticulous approach to the game is evidenced by a singular interception.
Conversely, Patrick Mahomes remains a pivotal figure for the Kansas City Chiefs. In the course of six games, Mahomes has successfully completed 153 out of 224 passing attempts, resulting in an impressive 68.3% completion rate. With a total of 1,593 passing yards, he averages 265.5 yards per game. Nevertheless, Mahomes has encountered challenges this season, indicated by his 5 interceptions juxtaposed with 11 touchdowns, which raises some considerations regarding his performance.
NFL Odds/Point Spread: Kansas City Chiefs -245, Total Odds: 52
Currently, the Kansas City Chiefs are favored with a spread of -5.5 and a moneyline of -245. The total for the game is set at 52, indicating an expectation of a relatively high-scoring contest. Given the Chiefs’ strong home record, these odds seem justifiable, but the Chargers have shown an ability to upset the odds, especially against Kansas City.
Los Angeles Chargers Betting Trends
The Chargers have a mixed recent record, with 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games and a straight-up record of 2-5 in their last 7. However, when it comes to matchups against the Chiefs, they’re 5-1 ATS in their last six encounters. Furthermore, on the road, the Chargers have a commendable 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games and an even more impressive 6-2 ATS when visiting the Chiefs.
Kansas City Chiefs Betting Trends
The Chiefs are enjoying a favorable trend with a 4-1 ATS in their previous five games. The total has gone UNDER in 7 of their last 10 games, hinting at defensive prowess. With a 5-0 straight-up record in their recent five matches and 9-1 at home, Arrowhead remains a fortress for the Chiefs. Intriguingly, they’re 1-4 ATS in their last five home games against the Chargers, indicating past struggles against this particular opponent.
Los Angeles Chargers vs. Kansas City Chiefs 10/22/23 Betting Picks
Based on current form and historical trends, this game is set to be a nail-biter. While the Chiefs enjoy the home advantage and a superior win-loss record, the Chargers have displayed a knack for upsetting the odds against Kansas City, especially on the road.
Considering the dynamics and the potency of both offenses, taking the over on the 52 total points might be a worthwhile bet. However, given the Chiefs’ recent ATS record against the Chargers at home, a bet on the Chargers covering the spread is also enticing. For those scouting the top live betting website, this matchup will undoubtedly provide numerous thrilling in-game opportunities.
Free Pick and Prediction: Kansas City Chiefs 28, Los Angeles Chargers 27