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NFL Week 12 Betting Prediction: Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans 11/26/2023

Jacksonville Jaguars (7-3) vs. Houston Texans (6-4)

Jacksonville Jaguars (with an impressive 7-3 record) will square off against Houston Texans (6-4 record) for an important Week 12 NFL clash at NRG Stadium this Sunday. Broadcasted on CBS, this contest has drawn immense interest among both fans and bettors looking for NFL betting picks as both teams have outshone expectations this season and look to solidify their standings positions.

The Jaguars have enjoyed an effective offense this season, thanks to the combined efforts of quarterback Trevor Lawrence and running back Travis Etienne Jr. Etienne has been an impressive force on the ground, rushing for 670 yards and 7 touchdowns over 10 games at an average 3.9 yards per carry rate. Christian Kirk has become an invaluable weapon in Jacksonville’s passing attack with 52 receptions for 672 yards received and an impressive 206 yards after catch rate that has proven crucial to its passing attack despite two lost fumbles from him.

On the Texans side, their offense has shown flashes of brilliance led by quarterback C.J. Stroud. Their ground game led by Devin Singletary has also produced results but not outstandingly; Singletary managed 471 rushing yards through 10 games; however more explosiveness in this department would benefit Houston immensely. Nico Collins has been an outstanding wide receiver, collecting 696 receiving yards at 16.2 yards per catch while making 15 plays of 20+ yards that have contributed immensely to their offense.


Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans Game Info

When: Sunday, November 26, 2023 at 1:00 PM ET
Where: NRG Stadium
Stream: NFL Game Pass


Trevor Lawrence QB vs. C.J. Stroud QB

Trevor Lawrence has been instrumental in the Jaguars’ success this season. His 68.1% completion rate and 2382 passing yards over 10 games show an improvement from his rookie year. Lawrence’s ability to read defenses and make intelligent throws is demonstrated in his 92.2 passer rating; however, he remains vulnerable against pressure: taking 25 sacks so far this season.

On the Texans side, C.J. Stroud has been exceptional as well. With 2962 passing yards and 17 touchdowns to his credit, combined with his 99.3 passer rating and 8.3 yards per pass attempt average, Stroud is an effective playmaker who presents constant downfield threats – both Lawrence’s poise and Stroud’s aggressiveness make for an exciting quarterback battle!


NFL Odds/Point Spread: Jacksonville Jaguars -121, Total Odds: 44.5

The Jaguars are slight favorites with a moneyline of -121 and a spread of -0.5, reflecting the closely matched nature of this contest. The total is set at 44.5 points, indicating expectations of a moderately high-scoring game. These odds suggest that while Jacksonville is favored, the game is expected to be tightly contested.


Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Trends

The Jaguars have shown exceptional success against the spread, going 6-0 in their last seven games and outshone expectations in that time frame. Unfortunately, their record against Houston remains dismal: just 1-10 against them so far this season – an inauspicious historical trend that may diminish bettors’ faith in Jacksonville.


Houston Texans Betting Trends

Houston may not boast as impressive an overall record as Jacksonville, yet has shown impressive ATS performances in their most recent conference games; going 6-3-1 over their last nine. Unfortunately, Houston’s home record stands at 5-14-1 SU over their last 20 home games; these trends suggest that while they can compete effectively at times, they often struggle to close out games when playing at home.


Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans 11/26/23 Betting Picks

Due to both teams’ performances and trends, this matchup should be more exciting than its odds suggest. Jacksonville has shown impressive form recently but their history against Houston cannot be ignored. With Stroud leading their powerful offense, Houston has the ability to give Jacksonville a run for their money due to their competitive AFC schedule.

As far as which team has an edge in this game, the Jaguars appear to be an attractive pick with their recent form and balanced offense. But the Texans’ home field advantage and historical dominance over Jacksonville makes them a tempting underdog bet. When making prop bets, over/under betting and other forms of wagers for value bets you might consider looking at individual player performances, particularly quarterback performances; using top bookie software could open up more opportunities.


Free Pick and Prediction: Jacksonville Jaguars 24, Houston Texans 21

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