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NFL Week 18 Betting Prediction: Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis Colts 1/6/2024

Houston Texans (9-7) vs. Indianapolis Colts (9-7)

Houston Texans travel to Indianapolis Colts in an eagerly anticipated NFL Week 18 showdown featuring equal teams; each have 9-7 records and will meet Saturday at Lucas Oil Stadium to meet on ABC for this crucial contest. As playoff positioning hangs in the balance, Super Bowl picks and predictions have become buzzworthy among fans and bettors as fans and bettors try to determine which side will win this evenly-balanced contest.

Houston Texans’ offense has been one of the league’s best performances this season thanks to quarterback C.J. Stroud and Running Back Devin Singletary’s dynamic duo. Stroud has been particularly effective, completing 63.1 percent of his passes for 3,844 yards and 21 touchdowns; Singletary can also be credited with reading defenses accurately and making accurate throws; Tom Savage alone contributed 835 yards and three touchdowns on 192 carries while Nic Collins became Stroud’s go-to target offensively; his ability to make contested catches and gain yards post catch has been invaluable to their aerial attack.

The Indianapolis Colts feature an arsenal of offensive weapons. Led by Gardner Minshew over all 16 games, their offense has amassed 3,164 yards and 15 touchdowns at an impressive completion percentage of 62.7% – not as prolific as Stroud but critical nonetheless in their success. Backfielder Zack Moss has carried most often for them while his physical running style and knack for finding holes has helped to fuel their rushing attack; wide receiver Michael Pittman Jr has been Minshew’s go-to receiver with 104 receptions totalling 1,108 yards accumulated thus far!


Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis Colts Game Info

When Saturday, January 6, 2024, at 8:15 PM ET
Where Lucas Oil Stadium
Stream NFL Game Pass


C.J. Stroud QB vs. Gardner Minshew QB

C.J. Stroud enters this matchup having thrown for 3844 yards, 21 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions across 14 games this season. He has completed 63.2% of his passes and averaged 8.1 yards per attempt. Stroud has shown the ability to stretch the field with his arm, compiling a 75 yard long completion and 274.6 passing yards per contest. He has also contributed 3 rushing touchdowns near the goal line. With weapons like Nico Collins at his disposal, Stroud should be able to exploit a weak Colts’ pass defense that has surrendered the 5th most yards through the air.

Gardner Minshew has provided stability for Indy, cutting down on mistakes compared to previous seasons. Through 16 games, he has passed for 3164 yards while completing 62.7% of throws with 15 TDs and 9 INTs. Minshew won’t light up the stat sheet, but he protects the football and allows playmakers to operate. His 85.3 passer rating indicates solid efficiency. Facing a Houston defense ranked 25th in opponent QB rating, Minshew should be able to make enough plays to put points on the board.


NFL Odds/Point Spread: Houston Texans -125, Total Odds: 47.5

The betting odds slightly favor the Texans, with the narrow spread indicating a closely contested game. The over/under set at 47.5 suggests that a moderately high-scoring game is expected, reflecting the offensive capabilities of both teams.


Houston Texans Betting Trends

Houston owns a solid 7-3 against the spread (ATS) record on the road this season. They also have a strong 4-2 straight up record over their past six away. However, Indianapolis has dominated this head-to-head at home, going 16-4 straight up over their last 20 meetings. The Texans will need to reverse their struggles at Lucas Oil to pull the minor upset.


Indianapolis Colts Betting Trends

The Colts are heating up at the right time, with a 5-1 ATS record over their previous six. Star RB Zack Moss is averaging 108 rushing yards over the past month as the offense has hit its stride when needed most. With home field advantage, the Colts have value getting points as short home underdogs.


Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis Colts 1/6/24 Betting Picks

Analyzing both teams’ strengths, the Texans seem to have a slight edge offensively, thanks to Stroud’s dynamic passing and Collins’ receiving prowess. However, the Colts’ home advantage and their historical dominance over Houston cannot be ignored. The game is likely to be tightly contested with both teams having a fair shot at victory.

In terms of betting, the Texans might be the safer bet given their recent form and offensive firepower. The over/under is a trickier proposition, but given both teams’ offensive capabilities, betting the over might be worthwhile. Prop bets on individual performances, especially from key players like Stroud and Pittman Jr., could also be intriguing. For top live betting opportunities, this game provides a range of options, from moneyline bets to in-game prop bets.


Free Pick and Prediction: Houston Texans 27, Indianapolis Colts 24

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