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MLB Betting Prediction: Houston Astros vs. New York Mets 6/30/2024

Houston Astros (40-40) vs. New York Mets (39-39)

As we approach the midpoint of the MLB season, the Houston Astros and New York Mets find themselves neck and neck with perfectly balanced records, setting the stage for an intriguing matchup at Citi Field this Sunday. Scheduled for a 1:40 PM ET start, both teams are looking to tip their scales towards a winning record. This game not only presents a critical juncture in their seasons but also offers a fascinating option for those looking for winning MLB picks.

Astros would be coming into this fixture in good form, having won all their past five games. This streak is really quite a testimony to their middle of the road risk-taking in both offense and defense. Having a team total batting average of .263 and slugging percentage of .421, the actual and predicted runs scored do not indicate that the Astros have slumped in the production of runs. Also, their pitchers posted a cumulative ERA of 4.06 and to achieve a WHIP of 1.3, has been able to curb the opponent attacks which is very important for a team that is playing on the away matches.

On the other hand, the Mets have emerged as coming back into contention with the win in the last four matches. They are a shade below the Astros in batting average with .250 and a slugging that is equal to .415 but are better in batting average with a marginally improved on-base percentage of .323. Their pitching stats are quite similar to that of Houston, they both have almost the same ERA and WHIP. One factor that will precisely determine the result of this tight game is the Mets’ performance at home, particularly Citi Field, where the team has been rather successful according to the betting lines.


Houston Astros vs. New York Mets Game Info

When: Sunday, June 30, 2024 at 1:40 PM ET
Where: Citi Field,
Stream: MLB.TV


Shawn Dubin (1-1, 7.00 ERA) vs. Luis Severino (5-2, 3.29 ERA)

Shawn Dubin has been similar in that he has experienced poor form and has a high ERA of 7.00 and WHIP of 1.67 over just 9 innings pitched. Nevertheless, these are some proven stiff figures, however, Dubin has exhibited somewhat better ailing capability with 11 strikeout. His reduced at-bats suggest that he can fold under pressure but with a propensity for earning strikeouts, he may well severely jeopardize the Mets’ batters. The strategies that will work for Dubin will be on how he should control his game early and ensure that he does not concede early goals.

Luis Severino on the other hand has more stability to him for the Mets. They now have a 5-2 record and a rather good 3.29 ERA across 90.1 innings, Severino has proven to be a reliable pitcher for the New York Yankees. Experience and ability to control the game with 71 strikeouts against 31 walks gives the Mets a big advantage in the starting pitching battle. The overall numbers confirmed by WHIP are seemingly as convincing as WHIP numbers themselves to indicate that Severino could be able to continue exhibiting control against the Astros’ high-powered offense.


MLB Odds/Point Spread: TBD, Total Odds: TBD

As the odds have yet to be set, it’s critical to monitor how the market reacts to these teams’ recent performances and the announced starting pitchers. Given the recent trends and the pitching matchup, the odds could favor the Mets slightly, particularly with Severino’s consistent season performance.


Houston Astros Betting Trends

The Astros have been exceptional in recent games, not just in winning but also covering the spread in their last five games. However, their road performance against the spread stands at 16-21, indicating some inconsistency away from home. With the total going OVER in two of their last five games, bettors might look closely at the over/under for this matchup, especially considering the Astros’ potent offense.


New York Mets Betting Trends

The Mets mirror the Astros in their recent success both straight up and against the spread. Their 19-16 record in road games against the spread indicates a slightly better consistency in unfamiliar territories. With the totals going OVER in three of their last five games, this could hint at another high-scoring affair, particularly if the Astros’ pitchers struggle early.


Houston Astros vs. New York Mets 6/30/24 Betting Picks

Considering the momentum of both teams and the strength of the Mets’ starting pitcher, this game promises to be closely contested. However, the edge might lean slightly towards the Mets, courtesy of Severino’s reliability and the home field advantage.

For those looking to place bets, the Mets might be the safer pick, especially if Severino performs to his season average. Prop bets on strikeouts for Severino and considering the OVER on total runs could offer additional value. This matchup also presents an interesting option for those frequenting the best online casino for sports betting, as the close odds could provide thrilling in-game betting opportunities.


Free Pick and Prediction: New York Mets 5, Houston Astros 3

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