Green Bay Packers (6-6) vs. New York Giants (4-8)
The Green Bay Packers take on the New York Giants at MetLife Stadium for this week 14 NFC matchup. This Monday night game promises to be a gripping encounter, airing on ABC. With both teams struggling this season, this game will be crucial for any playoff hopes. Our football picks suggest taking the points with the home underdogs.
For the Green Bay Packers, Jordan Love has injected new energy into the offense. But the key will be establishing the run with AJ Dillon to set up the play-action pass. Dillon could have a big day against the Giants poor run defense, ranked 29th in yards allowed per carry. This will open things up for top receivers Jayden Reed and Romeo Doubs.
The New York Giants offense has relied heavily on the rushing attack, led by Saquon Barkley. But the Packers run defense has been stout, allowing the 6th fewest rushing yards per game. This will put pressure on Daniel Jones in the passing game, where Green Bay is vulnerable. Jones must avoid turnovers and hit big plays to Darius Slayton.
Green Bay Packers vs. New York Giants Game Info
|Monday, December 11, 2023 at 8:15 PM ET
|NFL Game Pass
Jordan Love QB vs. Daniel Jones QB
Jordan Love has given the Packers new life after taking over for the injured Aaron Rodgers. He’s thrown for over 250 yards in 3 of his last 4 games, with 7 touchdowns and just 2 interceptions. The Giants pass defense ranks 18th in yards allowed, so Love should be able to keep the chains moving. But avoiding sacks will be key against a fierce NY pass rush. He has the arm talent to threaten the Giants secondary from anywhere on the field. Love just needs to continue playing smart, take what the defense gives him, and keep his eyes downfield when facing pressure. If he can do that, this Packers offense can still be dangerous.
Daniel Jones has struggled in his return from injury, failing to top 175 yards passing in his last 3 contests. He’s thrown 4 interceptions over that span and taken 12 sacks. The Packer defense has been vulnerable against the pass, but have generated the 5th most interceptions. Jones must make quick decisions and take care of the football. For Jones to succeed, using his legs will be crucial. He’s averaged 5 rushing attempts for 35.7 yards per game since returning from injury. Jones picking his spots to scramble can help compensate for a subpar Giants receiving corps. It also makes the Packers respect his mobility, opening check-down opportunities.
NFL Odds/Point Spread: Green Bay Packers -270, Total Odds: 38
The betting odds favor the Packers with a spread of -5.5, indicating expectations of their dominance over the Giants. The total set at 38 points reflects the anticipated defensive nature of the game, possibly due to the Giants’ offensive struggles and the Packers’ balanced approach.
Green Bay Packers Betting Trends
The Packers are 4-1 straight up and against the spread over their last 5 overall. But they have struggled on the road, going just 1-4 straight up in their last 5 away contests. The total has gone over in 5 of their last 7 road matchups against the Giants. And Green Bay is 8-3 against the spread in their last 11 games against NFC opponents.
New York Giants Betting Trends
The total has gone under in 8 of the Giants’ last 10 matchups. They have also struggled against the spread, with a 2-6 ATS record in their previous 8 contests versus NFC foes. But New York has played overs against Green Bay at home, going over in 5 of the last 7 meetings at MetLife. The Giants are also 3-7 straight up in their last 10 games overall.
Green Bay Packers vs. New York Giants 12/11/23 Betting Picks
Based on the analysis and betting trends, the Packers appear to have the upper hand in this matchup. Their balanced offense and relatively better quarterback play give them an edge over the Giants, whose offensive struggles have been apparent.
When considering betting options, the Packers’ -5.5 spread seems attainable, especially given the Giants’ offensive woes. The total points at 38 could be close, with the Packers likely contributing the bulk of those points. Bettors should also look at top live betting website for in-game betting opportunities, especially in prop bets related to quarterbacks and key receivers.
Free Pick and Prediction: Green Bay Packers 24, New York Giants 13