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NFL Week 12 Betting Prediction: Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions 11/23/2023

Green Bay Packers (4-6) vs. Detroit Lions (8-2)

As NFL Week 12 nears, fans are in for an exhilarating Thanksgiving treat as Green Bay Packers (3-6) meet Detroit Lions (8-2) for an epic Thanksgiving showdown at Ford Field! In this piece, we will delve deeply into key statistics and analysis for both teams; dissecting their strengths and weaknesses so you can make informed winning NFL picks.

As part of evaluating the Packers’ performance, it’s essential to look beyond their unimpressive record. Their rushing and receiving units have shown glimpses of promise; though inconsistently. Running back AJ Dillon provided steady ground play with 376 yards and one touchdown; however his 3.7 yards per rush indicated room for improvement. Receiving-wise Jayden Reed has proven a promising target amassing 417 yards and four touchdowns; his 14.9 yards per reception indicates his big play ability which may prove integral in breaking down Lions defense.

Conversely, the Detroit Lions demonstrate an expansive running and receiving game. David Montgomery made an undeniable impact in just 6 games by rushing for 501 yards and 7 touchdowns while maintaining an efficient average rush attempt distance of 4.7 yards per attempt – providing dynamic ground attack capabilities with his 4.7 yards per rush attempt metric. Amon-Ra St Brown has also been impressive, amassing 821 receiving yards with 4 touchdowns while amassing 102.6 receiving yards per game making him an indispensable piece of the Lions offense capable of taking down any defensive unit.


Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions Game Info

When: Thursday, November 23, 2023 at 12:30 PM ET
Where: Ford Field
Stream: NFL Game Pass


Jordan Love QB vs. Jared Goff QB

Jordan Love has had an up and down tenure as the Packers starting quarterback, boasting a completion percentage of 58.57%, 2009 passing yards, 14 touchdowns against 10 interceptions, a passer rating of 80.5 reflecting this dichotomy and inconsistency. To beat the Lions and get his team past him he must exhibit control, precision, and the ability to make clutch plays.

Jared Goff has been the centerpiece of the Lions’ successful record this season. His stats – including 68.4% completion rate, 2507 passing yards, 14 touchdowns and 5 interceptions in 11 games played and his 99.1 passer rating – speak volumes about his efficiency and leadership ability, making him an insurmountable challenge to any Packers’ defense.


NFL Odds/Point Spread: Detroit Lions -375, Total Odds: 44.5

The betting odds heavily favor the Detroit Lions, with a moneyline of -375 and a spread of -7.5 at -112. The total over/under is set at 44.5, with the under at -103, indicating expectations of a moderately high-scoring game. These odds reflect the Lions’ dominant season and the Packers’ struggles, suggesting that bettors might lean towards Detroit as the safer bet.


Green Bay Packers Betting Trends

Green Bay’s betting trends do not inspire much confidence. In their last seven games against Detroit alone, Green Bay went 2-5 against the spread and 2-11 ATS; their away form has also been disappointing, going just 1-4-1 during this stretch. These results demonstrate how Green Bay has struggled to cover spreads and secure victories on an ongoing basis compared to teams such as Detroit.


Detroit Lions Betting Trends

Detroit Lions have proven to be a betting darling over their last 20 games, posting an incredible 16-4 against-the-spread record across their last 20, including 8-2 ATS at home during that span and boasting an imposing 5-0 mark against Green Bay when playing at home against them – this trend highlighting Detroit’s consistent and reliable approach in winning games while covering spreads as well.


Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions 11/23/23 Betting Picks

According to analysis and betting trends, the Lions appear to be the superior team and more wise pick. Their consistent performance at home gives them an advantage over the Packers; however, due to the unpredictability of NFL games Love could turn things around quickly exploiting any weaknesses in Lions defense.

Detroit Lions stand out as an attractive pick when it comes to top online betting, given their outstanding performance this season, particularly at home, combined with Green Bay Packers’ struggles. Bettors should consider placing prop bets centered on individual performances like Amon-Ra St. Brown or David Montgomery receiving yards or rushing yards output since these are known commodities. In terms of total games played this season (44.5), Green Bay’s inconsistent offense makes under betting an attractive option despite Green Bays 44.5 total score being set as the total set by Bookmakers.


Free Pick and Prediction: Detroit Lions 28, Green Bay Packers 17

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