Detroit Lions (9-3) vs. Chicago Bears (4-8)
The Detroit Lions (9-3) take on the Chicago Bears (4-8) in an NFC North rivalry matchup. With NFL free picks hard to come by, our experts analyze the odds and betting trends to provide their predictions on this Week 14 contest. The Lions, surging with confidence, aim to consolidate their playoff position, while the Bears look to salvage pride in a challenging season.
Despite having the third-best record in the NFC, the Lions enter this game as 5.5-point road favorites. They look to sweep the season series after defeating the Bears 31-30 in Week 10. Detroit’s offense has been clicking this season behind the arm of quarterback Jared Goff and the receiving duo of Amon-Ra St.Brown and DJ Chark. However, the Bears nearly pulled off an upset last time around, presenting a tough matchup for these Lions.
The Bears have struggled to a 4-8 record but have been playing scrappy football of late. With top rusher David Montgomery finally healthy, quarterback Justin Fields has another weapon to complement his downfield threat in DJ Moore. Chicago kept it close with Detroit earlier this season and will look to break its five-game losing streak in head to head meetings. Our experts break down the matchup.
Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears Game Info
|Sunday, December 10, 2023 at 1:00 PM ET
|NFL Game Pass
Jared Goff QB vs. Justin Fields QB
Lions quarterback Jared Goff is having one of the best seasons of his career, with over 3200 passing yards and 20 touchdowns through 12 games. His passer rating of 98.1 ranks fifth among starting quarterbacks. Goff picked apart the Bears defense for 255 yards and two scores in their previous meeting. He has an array of weapons at his disposal and should thrive again versus this Chicago secondary.
Meanwhile, Bears quarterback Justin Fields has shown tremendous growth in year two, using his mobility to make plays with his arm and legs. He racked up 119 rushing yards versus the Lions earlier this season. While still prone to mistakes with 6 interceptions, the arrow is pointing up on Fields’ development. However, the Lions defense has been playing at a high level and could force the young quarterback into errors.
NFL Odds/Point Spread: Detroit Lions -230, Total Odds: 46.5
The Lions enter this game as solid 5.5-point favorites with a moneyline of -230. The total is set at 46.5 points. Detroit has been reliable for bettors this season with a 15-5 ATS record. They also have one of the top offenses in terms of scoring, eclipsing 26 points in four straight contests. The total has gone OVER in five of Detroit’s last six overall.
Detroit Lions Betting Trends
The Lions have been a covers machine this season, posting a superb 15-5 ATS record. They also have gone OVER the total in five of their past six contests, aided by an offense averaging 26.5 points per game. Detroit has found success recently against Chicago, covering four of the previous six meetings between these division rivals. When playing on the road, the Lions have covered six of their last seven games.
Chicago Bears Betting Trends
The Bears have been a bit up and down ATS this season but have covered four of their last six contests overall. Unders have hit in four of Chicago’s previous five games as well. The Bears have especially struggled at home, going 2-10 straight up in their last 12 contests at Soldier Field. However, when hosting the Lions, four of the last six meetings at Soldier Field have gone OVER the total.
Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears 12/10/23 Betting Picks
Considering the Lions’ offensive prowess and the Bears’ inconsistent performances, the smart pick seems to be on Detroit to cover the spread. The Bears’ home-field advantage might not be enough to counter the Lions’ momentum. The over/under is trickier, but given both teams’ tendency towards higher-scoring games, the ‘OVER’ might be a tempting option.
From a betting perspective, top sportsbooks would likely see a lot of action on the Lions, both on the moneyline and the spread. Prop bets on individual player performances, like Goff’s passing yards or St. Brown’s receptions, could offer additional betting interest.