Denver Broncos (3-5) vs. Buffalo Bills (5-4)
As Week 10 of the NFL beckons, football enthusiasts and bettors are looking for the most informed football betting picks today, and all eyes are on the upcoming showdown between the Denver Broncos and the Buffalo Bills. Scheduled for November 13, 2023, the Broncos, sitting at a 3-5 record, hope to find redemption as they face the Bills, who hold a slightly better record at 5-4. The game’s significance is underscored by its prime-time slot, promising a captivating Monday night football experience at the Bills’ home turf, Highmark Stadium.
Entering this contest, the Denver Broncos are endeavoring to enhance their ground game and passing efficiency. Despite a fluctuating commencement to the current season, notable contributors such as running back Javonte Williams have emerged, though the contrast between his commendable average of 51 rushing yards per encounter and his touchdown scarcity is quite stark. In the passing domain, receiver Courtland Sutton has ascended as the foremost option, securing 380 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns to his name. His proficiency in converting receptions into first downs has shone as a rare positive aspect within the Broncos’ offensive unit.
In juxtaposition, the Buffalo Bills have displayed greater steadiness within their rushing and receiving ranks. Running back James Cook has delivered a robust performance, tallying 506 rushing yards at an encouraging rate of 4.7 yards per carry. Receiver Stefon Diggs has distinguished himself remarkably, garnering 834 yards and 7 touchdowns, thus cementing his role as an integral component of the Bills’ strategic offensive maneuvers on a consistent basis. His notable average of 92.7 receiving yards per game underscores his elite positioning within the pantheon of the league’s receivers.
Denver Broncos vs. Buffalo Bills Game Info
|Monday, November 13, 2023 at 8:15 PM ET
|NFL Game Pass
Russell Wilson QB vs. Josh Allen QB
Analyzing the quarterback duel, Russell Wilson of the Broncos carries a passer rating of 101.7 into this game, emphasizing his precision passing and playmaking ability. Despite facing 26 sacks, his passing yardage and 16 touchdowns reflect his capacity to guide the Broncos’ offense effectively.
In the Buffalo corner, Josh Allen presents a higher completion rate of 71.3% and a slightly lower passer rating of 99.6. His contribution has been monumental for the Bills, with a commendable balance between passing touchdowns and yardage gained. His leadership will be essential as the Bills strive to capitalize on their home advantage.
NFL Odds/Point Spread: Buffalo Bills -450, Total Odds: 46.5
The Buffalo Bills are the clear favorites with a -450 moneyline, and the spread set at -8.5 indicates oddsmakers expect them to win by a comfortable margin. The total for the game is pegged at 46.5, which suggests a moderate scoring game, aligning with both teams’ offensive capabilities and defensive form.
Denver Broncos Betting Trends
The Broncos’ trends do not favor the optimistic bettor, with a disheartening 2-6-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last 9 games. However, with the total going OVER in 9 of their last 13, there’s a sliver of hope for those eyeing the over on total points. Their struggles on the road and against the Bills in particular, however, cannot be ignored.
Buffalo Bills Betting Trends
Buffalo’s recent failure to cover the spread, with an 0-5 ATS in their last five games, presents a cautionary tale for bettors. Despite this, their strong 13-5 straight-up (SU) record in their last 18 games and a dominant 16-3 SU at home portray a team that knows how to secure a win, especially at Highmark Stadium.
Denver Broncos vs. Buffalo Bills 11/13/23 Betting Picks
Taking into account all the available data, the Bills, with their formidable home record and offensive prowess, stand out as the likely victors in this matchup. Nevertheless, the Broncos’ ability to sometimes exceed scoring expectations could play into the hands of those betting on the over.
When looking for the better pick, Buffalo’s performance at home and Denver’s struggles on the road point towards a Bills cover. Yet, the top live betting website might see shifts during the game, making it worth watching the live odds for value plays, especially considering the Broncos’ potential to push the total over.
Free Pick and Prediction: Buffalo Bills 30, Denver Broncos 20