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NFL Week 15 Betting Prediction: Dallas Cowboys vs. Buffalo Bills 12/17/2023

Dallas Cowboys (10-3) vs. Buffalo Bills (7-6)

As we approach NFL Week 15, excitement is building for a high-stakes clash between the Dallas Cowboys and Buffalo Bills at Highmark Stadium on Sunday. Boasting a strong record and trailing slightly behind their opponent, these teams pose formidable competition that promises an engaging encounter between Sunday. Any football expert picks must watch this matchup; its results give insight into two of the league’s premier squads.

The Dallas Cowboys average 147.4 rushing yards per game behind their powerful offensive line, ranked 3rd best in adjusted line yards. Pollard leads Dallas with 796 rushing yards and 5 touchdowns while Elliott adds 509 rushing yards. This ground game sets up play-action shots to CeeDee Lamb, coming off a career-best 11 catches for 150 yards and 2 touchdowns last week. Lamb leads Dallas with 96 receptions for 1253 yards and 8 touchdowns as Prescott’s undisputed top target. The Cowboys quarterback is playing at an MVP level with 28 touchdown passes and a 107.5 rating. 

Buffalo relies more on the arm of Josh Allen, who has 3447 passing yards and 25 touchdowns to go along with 709 rushing yards and 7 rushing scores. Allen spreads the ball around to Stefon Diggs, Gabriel Davis, and tight end Dawson Knox. Diggs leads Buffalo with 87 catches for 993 yards and 8 touchdowns. Running back James Cook adds balance to Buffalo’s passing game, rushing for 789 yards and 4.8 yards per carry in his breakout debut season. However, the Bills rank just 24th averaging 107.5 rushing yards per game. They’ll have trouble running against Dallas’ run defense allowing just 77.0 rushing yards per contest.


Dallas Cowboys vs. Buffalo Bills Game Info

When: Sunday, December 17, 2023 at 4:25 PM ET
Where: Highmark Stadium
Stream: NFL Game Pass


Dak Prescott QB vs. Josh Allen QB

Dak Prescott is playing at an elite level during Dallas’ 5-game win streak, compiling a 121.2 passer rating with 12 touchdowns and no interceptions in that span. His 28 touchdown passes tie for second most in the NFL. Prescott has the accuracy to dissect Buffalo’s pass defense and his mobility to evade the Bills’ tough pass rush.

Josh Allen has cut back on turnovers that plagued him earlier this season, with just 2 interceptions during Buffalo’s current 3-game win streak. His 25 touchdowns are tied for fourth most in the league and Allen adds another dimension as a rusher. But he faces a Cowboys pass defense allowing the fifth-lowest yards per attempt (6.3).


NFL Odds/Point Spread: Buffalo Bills -115, Total Odds: 49

The betting odds slightly favor the Buffalo Bills, reflecting their home-field advantage and consistent performance. However, the close point spread indicates that this could be a tightly contested game. Bettors should consider the Cowboys’ strong performance against the spread (ATS) in recent games and their ability to outperform expectations.


Dallas Cowboys Betting Trends

Dallas is 16-7 straight up and 15-8 against the spread in its last 23 games per The Cowboys are also 48-21 straight up and 39-27-3 ATS in their last 69 December games. Dallas has been a covering machine recently, going 10-3 ATS in its last 13 overall. The total has gone over in 5 of Dallas’ last 7 games as well. However, the under is 37-17-1 in the Cowboys’ last 55 road games against a team with a winning home record.


Buffalo Bills Betting Trends

Buffalo is just 2-7 against the spread in its last 9 games per, but is 13-7 straight up in its last 20 games. The total has gone under in 5 of the Bills’ last 6 games. Buffalo is also 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games against NFC East opponents. However, the Bills are 5-2 straight up in their last 7 home games and have beaten the spread in 10 of their last 14 home dates with the Cowboys.


Dallas Cowboys vs. Buffalo Bills 12/17/23 Betting Picks

Given the data and trends, this game is shaping up to be a closely matched battle. The Cowboys have shown resilience and an ability to outperform, especially on the road. The Bills, with the home-field advantage and a strong defense, will pose a significant challenge. In terms of top betting sites, this game could go either way, making it a particularly exciting prospect for bettors.

In conclusion, while the Bills may have the edge with their home-field advantage, the Cowboys’ recent form and ATS performance make them an enticing pick. For prop bets, considering players like CeeDee Lamb and Stefon Diggs for touchdown scorers could be lucrative. The over/under is set at 49, and with both teams showing strong offensive capabilities, the over might be a tempting option.


Free Pick and Prediction: Dallas Cowboys 27, Buffalo Bills 24

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