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UFC 303 Betting Prediction: Cub Swanson vs. Andre Fili 6/29/2024

UFC 303 Betting Prediction: Cub Swanson vs. Andre Fili 6/29/2024

UFC 303 will take place Saturday, June 29, at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada and is set to feature Cub Swanson against Andre Fili in a featherweight bout broadcasted live by ESPN+. Swanson currently boasts 29-13-0 in UFC competition while Fili currently holds 23-11-0 (1 NC). Both fighters offer unique skills and fighting styles; we dive deeper into this matchup so as to provide insightful analysis as well as free MMA winning picks to assist your betting decisions!


Cub Swanson vs. Andre Fili Game Info

When: Saturday, June 29, 2024 at 8:00 PM ET
Where: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA


Cub Swanson Analysis

Cub Swanson, famous for his aggressive striking and resilience, comes into this fight boasting 29 wins, 13 losses, and no draws to his credit. Swanson boasts an impressive offensive arsenal: 4.70 significant strikes per minute at 50 percent accuracy are proof enough of that; in addition his striking defense rating stands out with 59% defense and an average 3.84 strikes taken per minute absorption rate – showing his ability to connect frequently yet effectively against his opponents.

Swanson’s grappling game, while not his primary focus, adds another facet of skill to his repertoire. Averaging 1.09 takedowns every 15 minutes at 52% takedown accuracy indicates his effectiveness at transitioning onto the ground when necessary, while 61% defense indicates his ability to fend off opponents grappling attempts. His submission game averages an impressive 0.4 submissions every 15 minutes which suggests his capability of finishing fights on the floor.

Swanson recently secured a win against Dawodu to demonstrate his continued relevance and competitiveness in the featherweight division. Not only was this win encouraging, it demonstrated how easily Swanson adapts and overcomes younger, formidable opponents. Swanson will need all his experience and versatility when facing off against Andre Fili.


Andre Fili Analysis

Andre Fili is known for his strong combination of striking and grappling abilities, with 23 victories against 11 defeats and one no contest on his record. Fili’s offensive metrics include 3.85 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy rating of 37% – lower than Swanson but his reach advantage allows him to maintain distance control during fights and keep them under his own pace.

Fili’s defensive capabilities, with 51% striking defense rate and 4.11 strikes absorbed per minute on average, show his resilience against attacks by opponents. His grappling statistics stand out – 2.16 takedowns per 15 minutes at 47% takedown accuracy is especially notable; Fili also boasts 69% takedown defense to prevent his opponents from dominating him on the ground; his submission average of 0.3% per 15 minutes rounds out this impressive repertoire of skills.

Fili was most recently defeated by Ige, which demonstrated areas for improvement. Yet despite this setback, he remains an effective competitor with both striking and grappling abilities that will challenge any fighter in his division – his seamless combination will play a critical role against Swanson.


Cub Swanson vs. Andre Fili Stats

Swanson Fili
Wins/Losses/Draws 29-13-0 23-11-0 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time 11:34 10:25
Height 5′ 8″ 5′ 11″
Weight 145 lbs. 145 lbs.
Reach 70″ 74″
Stance Orthodox Orthodox
Strikes Landed per Min. 4.70 3.85
Striking Accuracy 50% 37%
Strikes Absorbed per Min. 3.84 4.11
Defense 59% 51%
Takedowns Average/15 min. 1.09 2.16
Takedown Accuracy 52% 47%
Takedown Defense 61% 69%
Submission Average/15 min. 0.4 0.3


Cub Swanson vs. Andre Fili Betting Picks

Examining both fighters’ strengths and weaknesses reveals this matchup will be an exercise in striking efficiency and grappling control. Swanson has an advantage with regards to stand-up exchanges due to his higher striking output and accuracy while Fili has reach advantage and grappling abilities that give her control of pace and direction of the fight.

Swanson is an engaging option for bettors given his recent win and extensive experience, particularly given his proven ability to adapt and execute successful game plans against different opponents. Fili must use his reach and grappling power against Swanson’s striking, yet his recent loss may affect both confidence and performance levels.

Swanson presents an attractive underdog opportunity when betting odds pit him at +130 against Fili’s odds of -175; his proven track record, striking proficiency and recent win suggest he might just upset them to emerge victorious in this fight. Fili, on the other hand, must get past recent defeat and leverage reach and grappling skills for victory to dictate its result.


Free Pick: Cub Swanson +130


At UFC 303, Swanson will face Fili in an exciting and competitive battle that should make for great viewing and betting action. Both fighters bring unique skills and strategies into the octagon that should make for an engaging battle that should delight MMA fans and bettors alike. Our analysis points towards Cub Swanson as our preferred pick due to his striking accuracy, recent performances, experience, and betting opportunities with online casino websites that may offer further promotions or betting possibilities for this matchup.

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