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NFL Week 16 Betting Prediction: Cowboys vs. Dolphins 12/24/2023

Dallas Cowboys (10-4) vs. Miami Dolphins (10-4)

An enthralling NFL Week 16 matchup awaits as the 10-4 Dallas Cowboys travel to Hard Rock Stadium to battle the 10-4 Miami Dolphins. Scheduled for Sunday, this game is a pivotal clash in the NFL calendar, with both teams locked at identical records and vying for a crucial win. Fans can catch this high-stakes game on FOX, and for those making football winning picks, this matchup offers a blend of intrigue, skill, and strategy.

The Cowboys have enjoyed an outstanding offensive performance this season, particularly their running and receiving game. Tony Pollard led Dallas with 207 rushing attempts totalling 848 yards and five touchdowns at an impressive average of 4.1 yards per rush; CeeDee Lamb has been outstanding, reeling in 103 receptions for 1306 yards with eight touchdowns at 12.7 yards per reception average and his ability to create plays after the catch proving instrumental for their offensive success.

The Dolphins have responded with their own arsenal of offensive weapons. Raheem Mostert has been an explosive presence in the running game, amassing 966 yards and 18 touchdowns from 198 attempts for an average 4.9 average yards per carry average. Tyreek Hill has been equally impressive, tallying 1542 receiving yards from 97 receptions with 12 touchdowns – becoming an instantaneous threat whenever targeted.


Dallas Cowboys vs. Miami Dolphins Game Info

When: Sunday, December 24, 2023 at 4:25 PM ET
Where: Hard Rock Stadium
Stream: NFL Game Pass


Dak Prescott QB vs. Tua Tagovailoa QB

Dak Prescott directs the Dallas offense with precision and poise. Despite battling injuries this year, he displays pinpoint accuracy at all levels of the field. Prescott excels at reading defenses and distributing the ball to his playmakers. His touchdown to interception ratio of 28/7 underscores his excellent decision making. Where Prescott stands out is in the critical situational football metrics – red zone efficiency, third down conversions and late game performance. When the pressure ramps up, Prescott has the even-keeled temperament and big game experience to shine. Only an elite handful of quarterbacks can match his combination of football intelligence, accuracy and poise.

Tua Tagovailoa has firmly established himself as an upper echelon quarterback this season. He has improved across the board, most notably in yards per attempt and completion percentage as he pushes the ball confidently downfield to Miami’s speedy receivers. Tagovailoa displays trust in his protection and willingness to step up into pocket to deliver strong, decisive throws. He has developed a special connection with receiver Tyreek Hill, hitting him perfectly in stride for explosive plays. Tagovailoa’s rapid development points toward a fruitful long-term future in Miami. This high-upside field general will give the Dallas defense all they can handle on Sunday.


NFL Odds/Point Spread: Miami Dolphins -127, Total Odds: 51

The betting odds are tightly contested, with the Dolphins as slight favorites. The point spread is narrow at -1, reflecting the expected closeness of the game. The total set at 51 points indicates anticipation of a high-scoring affair, a testament to the offensive prowess of both teams.


Dallas Cowboys Betting Trends

Dallas has been solid against the spread (ATS) lately, covering in 6 of their last 9 overall. They have also owned this head-to-head matchup, covering in 5 of the previous 7 meetings with Miami straight up. The Cowboys have gone under 8 times in 11 road games as well, a trend that could continue in Miami’s outdoor conditions.


Miami Dolphins Betting Trends

The Dolphins have been money in the bank for bettors, covering the spread in 12 of 17 games this year. They have especially excelled at home, winning 7 of 8 in Miami straight up. In an interesting contrast though, Miami’s last 10 games with Dallas have all gone under the total. With an over/under of 51, the scoring expectations are clearly higher this time around.


Dallas Cowboys vs. Miami Dolphins 12/24/23 Betting Picks

This matchup is poised to be a close and high-scoring game, given the offensive capabilities of both teams. The Cowboys, with their balanced attack, could exploit the Dolphins’ defense, but Miami’s home advantage and explosive playmaking ability can’t be overlooked.

In terms of top bookie software bets, this game could go either way. Prop bets on individual player performances, especially quarterbacks and key receivers, might offer value. The over/under at 51 seems attainable given the offensive firepower on display, making the over a tempting pick.


Free Pick and Prediction: Dallas Cowboys 28, Miami Dolphins 25

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