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MLB Betting Prediction: Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Reds 7/11/2024

Colorado Rockies (32-59) vs. Cincinnati Reds (43-48)

As the MLB season unfolds, the Colorado Rockies face the Cincinnati Reds at the Great American Ball Park on a sunny Thursday afternoon. With the Rockies struggling to keep up their momentum and the Reds aiming to inch closer to a .500 record, this matchup offers intriguing prospects for free MLB picks, given both teams’ recent forms and head-to-head statistics. Let’s dive into the details of this game, scheduled for July 11, 2024, which will be broadcast on ESP+.

The current position of the Colorado Rockies is quite poor, ranking 32-59; they remain in last place in the league, solidly holding their position as losers week after week. Their batting average is .244, on base percentage – .305 and slug average is of – .390. However, on the flip side, the Rockies’ statistics reveal that with generous hits of 746 and home runs of 86, the major weakness in pitching is evident since the team’s ERA stands at 5.47 and the team’s WHIP as 1.53, figures higher than their competitors . These statistics show a full-blown potential for hitting but it’s crippled by poor performance of their pitchers.

The Cincinnati Reds have a 43-48 record, which sets them up for a significantly worse season than the Cardinals; however, their defensive indicators seem considerably less fragile. They have a lower team batting average of .225 but the team pitching ERA is slightly better at 3.84 and WHIP at 1.25 shows that the opposing team’s pitchers have a better control of the game. In terms of power, the Reds have scored slightly lower than the Rockies, specific to 88 home runs; however, the Reds’ defense is slightly better than the Rockies’, as seen in the teams’ management of opponents hitters, which has a .235 average.


Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Reds Game Info

When: Thursday, July 11, 2024 at 1:10 PM ET
Where: Great American Ball Park
Stream: MLB.TV


Austin Gomber (2-5, 4.47 ERA) vs. Hunter Greene (5-4, 3.45 ERA)

Austin Gomber for the Rockies in general is a sort of a hit-or-miss proposition this season. Including a 4.47 ERA a 1.29 WHIP and totals of over 94.2 innings. Gomber demonstrated a moderate control over hits and walks but he has a problem with homers allowing 16 of them. Based on the strikeout to walk ratio he is able to learn to perform, however, he is prone to making costly blunders which are most appropriate for the reds’ lineup.

Hunter Greene of the Reds has better figures in terms of season overview, with 3.45 ERA and 1.14 WHIP with 104.1 IP. Greene has managed to strike out 116 opponents and these facts show that he has the capacity to control the opponent team’s batsmen as well as the number of runners on the field by issuing wears or hits. Again, his lower home run allowance of (7) than that of Gomber (9) shows a better handle of high-risk situations.


MLB Odds/Point Spread: TBD, Total Odds: TBD

Details on the betting odds and point spreads are yet to be determined, but based on team performance and starting pitchers, early indications might slightly favor the Reds, especially with Greene’s consistent performance this season.


Colorado Rockies Betting Trends

The Rockies are 3-2 in their last five games but have shown inconsistencies throughout the season. Their road game performance against the spread (19-24) suggests challenges in maintaining form away from home. The totals have gone OVER in just one of their last five games, indicating a trend towards lower-scoring games, likely due to their pitching issues.


Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Reds, mirroring their opponents, are 2-3 in their recent outings but have a strong record against the spread in road games (29-15). This could suggest resilience and ability to perform under varied conditions, though their total scores have also trended lower recently, with only one OVER in the last five games.


Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Reds 7/11/24 Betting Picks

Considering the statistical analysis and recent trends, the game leans towards a tight contest with a probable edge to the Reds, given their stronger pitching and strategic home advantage. The key will be the performance of the starting pitchers and the ability of the Rockies to exploit any slips by Greene.

Concluding, the better pick for this matchup appears to be the Cincinnati Reds, particularly if the betting odds offer a reasonable moneyline. Potential prop bets could include strikeouts for Greene and total runs, with a lean towards UNDER on total points, considering both teams’ recent scoring trends. For those engaging in top online betting, keep a close eye on live odds adjustments post the announcement of starting lineups and weather conditions.


Free Pick and Prediction: Cincinnati Reds 4, Colorado Rockies 2

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