Cleveland Browns (5-3) vs. Baltimore Ravens (7-2)
As the NFL season marches into Week 10, the Cleveland Browns are set to face off against the Baltimore Ravens in a riveting AFC North clash on Sunday, November 12, 2023. The Browns, sitting at a respectable 5-3, look to challenge the Ravens, who boast a strong 7-2 record. This game, pivotal for the division standings, will be one to watch for fans and bettors alike, with many eager for NFL daily picks to guide their wagers.
The Browns’ offensive scheme heavily relies on their rushing attack, which is spearheaded by Jerome Ford. Ford, with 381 rushing yards across 7 games, averages an impressive 4.4 yards per carry. This ground game is essential for Cleveland’s offense to control the clock and set the tempo. In the receiving department, Amari Cooper has emerged as a reliable target. With 478 receiving yards and an average of 15.9 yards per reception, Cooper’s ability to break away for big plays can’t be underestimated. His connection with quarterback Deshaun Watson will be crucial for the Browns to stretch the field against the Ravens’ defense.
On the Ravens side of things, their offensive prowess this season can be attributed to Lamar Jackson. The dual-threat quarterback has proven effective both aerially with a 71.5% completion rate and on the ground. Gus Edwards brings an element of toughness in their backfield with 478 rushing yards and seven touchdowns under his belt; receiving threats Zay Flowers (472 receiving yards) offers additional threat for Baltimore defenders.
Cleveland Browns vs. Baltimore Ravens Game Info
|Sunday, November 12, 2023 at 1:00 PM ET
|M&T Bank Stadium
|NFL Game Pass
Deshaun Watson QB vs. Lamar Jackson QB
Deshaun Watson has quickly shown his abilities at quarterback for the Browns since taking over at quarterback. With 683 passing yards and an 80.9 passer rating in just four games played so far, his performance is on an upward trend; however, facing off against Baltimore’s aggressive defense will present new challenges; to keep Cleveland moving forward successfully it is imperative for Watson to use his mobility to find rhythm early and keep their opponents at bay.
On the other side, Lamar Jackson continues to be the cornerstone of the Ravens’ offense. With a superior passer rating of 100.8 across 9 games, Jackson has thrown for 1954 yards and 9 touchdowns. More than his passing prowess, his threat as a runner adds another dimension to the Ravens’ strategic setup, forcing defenses to play honest and opening up opportunities for his teammates.
NFL Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore Ravens -220, Total Odds: 38.5
The Ravens enter the game as significant favorites with a -220 moneyline, and the spread sits at -4.5, suggesting confidence from the oddsmakers in their ability to cover. The total is pegged at 38.5, reflecting both teams’ recent trends towards lower-scoring affairs. Bettors will need to consider these factors, including each team’s offensive capabilities and defensive strengths, when making their picks.
Cleveland Browns Betting Trends
Cleveland’s betting trends paint a mixed picture. Despite a decent straight-up (SU) record in recent games, they’ve struggled against the spread (ATS) when facing the Ravens, with only 2 covers in their last 8 meetings. This trend is even more pronounced when playing in Baltimore, where the Browns are a concerning 2-13 SU in their last 15 road games against the Ravens. However, it’s worth noting that the total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland’s last 5 road games, which could entice bettors leaning towards a higher-scoring outcome than the odds suggest.
Baltimore Ravens Betting Trends
The Ravens, conversely, have been robust ATS, covering in 8 of their last 11 games. This trend aligns with their strong SU performances, particularly at home, where they have a commanding 13-2 record in their last 15 matchups. The total going UNDER in 10 of Baltimore’s last 11 home games indicates a pattern of stout defensive displays at M&T Bank Stadium, a trend that might continue against the Browns.
Cleveland Browns vs. Baltimore Ravens 11/12/23 Betting Picks
Given the comprehensive analysis and betting trends, the Ravens seem poised to capitalize on their home advantage and defensive strength to cover the spread. The Browns will likely lean on their rushing game to keep it close, but Baltimore’s offense, especially with Jackson at the helm, should find ways to penetrate Cleveland’s defense.
For bettors looking at the top sportsbooks, it’s worth considering the Ravens to cover the -4.5 spread, primarily due to their impressive ATS record and the Browns’ struggles in Baltimore. The under on the total points might also be appealing, given the trends for both teams at M&T Bank Stadium. Prop bets could focus on rushing yards for Edwards and receiving yards for Cooper, based on their season performances.
Free Pick and Prediction: Baltimore Ravens 24, Cleveland Browns 17