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Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets 9/16/23 MLB Odds, Analysis, and Prediction

Cincinnati Reds (76-72) vs. New York Mets (68-78)

Tonight’s baseball game between the Cincinnati Reds (76-72) and the New York Mets (68-78) is attracting attention from gamblers and fans alike, offering a showdown filled with potential. As both teams approach the tail end of their respective seasons, each is striving to make a meaningful impact on the standings. In this analysis, we’ll delve into the MLB best picks for tonight’s matchup at Citi Field.

The Reds have had an impressive season with a 76-72 record. Their .247 batting average and 171 home runs demonstrate that this team can hit homers. Their on-base percentage (.325) helps their slugging percentage (.412). Unfortunately, their pitching has been average at best with 4.74 ERA and 1.41 WHIP figures posted; these characteristics must also change for them to win games away from National League East Division teams like this game.

On the contrary, New York Mets have had a much more turbulent season, as evidenced by their 68-78 record. Although their batting average of .239 may be lower, they have hit more homers (195) than Reds despite an inferior OBP and slugging percentage; their pitching staff however has fared much better, boasting 4.37 ERA and 1.37 WHIP ratings respectively. Yet at home they have shown significant momentum, winning four out of their last five contests.


Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets Game Info

When: Saturday, September 16, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET
Where: Citi Field
Stream MLB.TV


Andrew Abbott (8-5, 3.64 ERA) vs. Tylor Megill (8-7, 5.03 ERA)

Andrew Abbott takes the mound for the Reds with an 8-5 win-loss record. His 3.64 ERA and 1.22 WHIP over 99 innings pitched are strong indicators of his reliability. He has also struck out 107 batters while allowing only 39 walks and 14 home runs.

Starting for the Mets is Tylor Megill, who has an 8-7 record but a higher ERA of 5.03 and a WHIP of 1.64 over 107.1 innings pitched. He has been less effective than Abbott, striking out fewer batters (90) and allowing more walks (53) and home runs (16).


MLB Odds/Point Spread: New York Mets -112, Total Odds: 8.5

The betting odds offer some insight into the likely outcomes of this matchup. With the Reds at a -112 moneyline and a -1.5 (+145) spread, they are slight favorites. The Mets, however, have a +102 moneyline and a +1.5 (-165) spread, suggesting that bookmakers believe this will be a closely contested game.


Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Reds are 2-5 straight up (SU) in their last seven games against the Mets, and 1-4 SU in their last five road games against them. In their last six games against National League East Division opponents, they are also 1-5 SU. The total has gone UNDER in five of Cincinnati’s last seven road games. These trends suggest the Reds could struggle in this away game.


New York Mets Betting Trends 

The Mets are 4-1 SU in their last five games and have a strong home record of 6-2 SU in their last eight games at Citi Field. Moreover, they are 5-2 SU in their last seven home games against Cincinnati. The total has consistently gone UNDER in the Mets’ recent games, especially when facing National League Central Division teams. This all points towards a possible Mets win or a low-scoring game.


Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets 9/16/23 Betting Picks

Considering the trends, team stats, and starting pitchers, this looks like a matchup that leans slightly in favor of the Mets, especially when playing at home. Andrew Abbott has better stats, but Megill will have the home-field advantage and a recent trend of winning at home to back him up. When also taking into account that the Mets have been performing well against Cincinnati and National League Central Division teams, it might be wise to bet on them. For those looking to place their bets, the best online casinos offer various platforms to do so.

Free Pick and Prediction: New York Mets will win 5-3

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