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Cincinnati Bengals vs Kansas City Chiefs AFC Championship 1/29/2023 Expert Picks and Tips

Cincinnati Bengals vs Kansas City Chiefs AFC Championship 1/29/2023 Expert Picks and Tips

The Bengals will head to GEHA Field in Arrowhead Stadium to take on the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday, January 29th in a highly-anticipated matchup. Cincinnati comes off a strong performance against the Buffalo Bills, where they dominated on both sides of the ball. Quarterback Joe Burrow led the team with a solid outing, completing 23 of 36 passes for 242 yards and two touchdowns, while running back Joe Mixon also had a standout game, gaining 105 yards on 20 carries and scoring a touchdown. The Bengals’ defense also made a statement, limiting the Bills to just 64 rushing yards and 261 total yards.

Despite their strong showing, the Bengals will have a tough test ahead as they face off against the high-powered offense of the Kansas City Chiefs. Cincinnati’s defense currently ranks 16th in the league, allowing 335.7 yards per game and 229.1 passing yards (23rd). They have a strong run defense, allowing only 106.6 yards per game (seventh in the league), but this game will likely be won or lost through the air. In their last meeting, the Bengals managed to hold Kansas City’s quarterback Patrick Mahomes to just 211 passing yards and 138 rushing yards and will look to repeat that performance in this matchup. Linebackers Joseph Ossai and Sam Hubbard will also be key players to watch as they each recorded a sack in their last game against the Chiefs.

  • Cincinnati is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 matches with the Kansas City Chiefs.
  • The Bengals are 7-1 SU in their last 8 outings with the Chiefs.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on the road.
  • The total stayed UNDER in 7 of the team’s last 8 games on the road against Kansas City.

Cincinnati Bengals vs Kansas City Chiefs AFC Championship 1/29/2023 Expert Picks and Tips

The Kansas City Chiefs faced a tough test against the Jacksonville Jaguars last Sunday, as they were forced to hold on to a slim lead in the fourth quarter. Despite taking a 20-10 advantage into the final period, the Chiefs found themselves clinging to a 20-17 lead after the Jaguars’ Travis Etienne Jr. scored a touchdown on a four-yard run. However, quarterback Patrick Mahomes stepped up in the clutch, leading the team down the field and throwing a six-yard touchdown pass to Marquez Valdes-Scantling to secure the victory. The Jaguars had one final chance to tie the game, but the Chiefs’ defense came up with a key fumble recovery and interception to secure the win.

Mahomes has been the driving force behind the Chiefs’ success this season, completing 67.1% of his passes for 5,250 yards, 41 touchdowns, and 12 interceptions. Despite not having a true number-one receiver, Mahomes has been able to spread the ball around to a variety of weapons, including tight end Travis Kelce (110 receptions for 1,338 yards, 12 touchdowns) and running back Jerrick McKinnon (56 receptions for 512 yards, nine touchdowns). Wide receiver JuJu Smith-Schuster has also been a key contributor, catching 78 passes for 933 yards and three touchdowns.

  • The total went UNDER in 11 of Kansas City’s last 14 matches with Cincinnati.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games at home.
  • The total remained UNDER in 7 of Kansas City’s last 8 games at home against the Bengals.

Cincinnati Bengals vs Kansas City Chiefs. The NFL pick for this game is the Cincinnati Bengals. Kansas City QB Patrick Mahomes suffered a high ankle sprain during Saturday’s victory and is expected to play in this game. These two teams averaged 56 points per game in the last three meetings, so the over is worth a look. The stronger play is on the Chiefs to win at home. Prediction: Kansas City Chiefs win 31-23.

NFL Starting Time: 6:30 PM (EDT)

Location: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, MO

Date: Sunday, January 29, 2023 


NFL Odds: Cincinnati Bengals +2

NFL Totals: 47.5

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