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MLB Betting Prediction: Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians 7/4/2024

Chicago White Sox (24-62) vs. Cleveland Guardians (52-30)

As Independence Day fireworks promise to light up the skies, the MLB scene sets its own stage for sparks with a showdown between the struggling Chicago White Sox and the formidable Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field. This midsummer clash captures the essence of a season’s trials and triumphs. With the Guardians showing strong, the White Sox will try to turn their tide on this nationally celebrated day. Fans and bettors alike might find valuable insights in today baseball free picks as these two teams battle it out.

The Chicago White Sox batting average of the whole team has remained low at .220 while the on-base has also remained low at .281. Consequently, the White Sox has struggled to get runs, and they have only been able to get a total of 267. Their pitching has not been any better though, their ERA stands at 4.57 and their WHIP proves they have problems with opposing batters getting on base as it stands at 1.37.

While the Cleveland Guardians, for instance, have a team batting average of .245 and a comparatively better slugging percentage of .410. Surprisingly, the Guardians do well with their pitching department as they post a 3.6 ERA and a striking 1.21 WHIP which keeps the scores low. The evenly divided schedule makes them set up nicely as they prepare to enter the second half of the year.


Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians Game Info

When: Thursday, July 4, 2024 at 1:10 PM ET
Where: Progressive Field
Stream: MLB.TV


Drew Thorpe (2-1, 4.43 ERA) vs. Ben Lively (7-4, 3.03 ERA)

Given that Drew Thorpe has had limited games this season, it can be said that he has something to offer and at the same time, he needs improvement. Having an ERA of 4.43 over 20.1 innings he has well kept a low WHIP of 1.23. This is seen by his average of 13 Ks for every 12; however, issues of control have been a major disconnect since he has bowled 12 walks. For Thorpe, the million-dollar question will be his ability and capacity to manage his temper on the mound especially when facing the Guardians which is a dangerous line-up.

Ben Lively has been consistent for the Guardians pitching team and has put up a reasonable 7-4 W/L ratio with the average ERA of 3.03 in 71.1 innings. His command has been better than most with WHIP of 1.16; this shows that he has restricted the number of runners getting through. Lively brings his previous experience, and stability into this game since the White Sox offense is trying to find its form during the season.


MLB Odds/Point Spread: TBD, Total Odds: TBD

As the betting lines remain unset, keeping an eye on the movement of these odds will be key. Based on the season performance, it is likely that the Guardians will be favored at home, where they have been strong all season.


Chicago White Sox Betting Trends

The White Sox have shown some signs of life lately, going 3-2 in their last 5 games, indicating a possible turnaround or at least a fight in their gameplay. Their road game performance against the spread stands at 17-24, which suggests inconsistency when playing away from home. Bettors might find opportunities in totals betting, as the games have tended to go OVER recently.


Cleveland Guardians Betting Trends

Despite a recent slump of 1-4 in their last 5 games, the Guardians’ season-long stats suggest this could be a minor blip rather than a sustained downturn. They have been strong against the spread at home, which might make them a safe bet if the odds are favorable. The total has gone OVER in several of their recent home games, which might suggest a trend for those looking at over/under bets.


Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians 7/4/24 Betting Picks

This matchup presents a classic scenario of an underdog against a favorite. The statistical analysis and season trends lean heavily towards the Guardians, especially with Lively on the mound. Their superior batting and pitching stats make them the logical favorite in this contest.

For bettors, the best online betting might focus on the Guardians to win, particularly given the White Sox’s struggles on the road. Prop bets on total runs could be appealing, especially if the odds favor a higher scoring game, which has been a trend at Progressive Field.


Free Pick and Prediction: Cleveland Guardians 5, Chicago White Sox 2

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