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NFL Week 14 Betting Prediction Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs 12/10/2023 

Buffalo Bills (6-6) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (8-4)

The 6-6 Buffalo Bills take on the 8-4 Kansas City Chiefs this Sunday, December 10th at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. It’s a clash of two high-caliber teams, making it a focal point for NFL expert free picks, as both teams aim to improve their playoff positioning.

The Bills enter with a strong passing attack led by QB Josh Allen, who is averaging over 267 yards per game. WR Stefon Diggs continues to be Allen’s top target, already tallying 969 receiving yards and 8 TDs. However, the ground game has been lackluster, with RB James Cook averaging just 60.9 rushing yards per contest.

On the other side, the Chiefs feature an ascending rushing unit with rookie RB Isiah Pacheco gaining momentum. Pacheco has notched 779 rushing yards on the season behind a sturdy 4.4 yards per carry. All the while, QB Patrick Mahomes keeps working his magic, recording 22 passing touchdowns and 3,127 yards through the air. WR JuJu Smith-Schuster and TE Travis Kelce remain trusted outlets.


Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs Game Info

When: Sunday, December 10, 2023 at 4:25 PM ET
Where: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
Stream: NFL Game Pass


Josh Allen QB vs Patrick Mahomes QB

Josh Allen enters this contest on uneven footing after an up and down start to the year. While his 24 touchdowns showcase his playmaking upside through the air, his 13 picks also display his gunslinger mentality sometimes backfiring. Still, Allen seems to have found his rhythm recently, tossing 8 TDs and 0 interceptions over his last 3 outings. If Allen can maintain composure against Kansas City’s opportunistic secondary, his Howitzer arm gives Buffalo a fighter’s chance. However, his league-leading 15 sacks taken indicate the Chiefs ferocious pass rush could have a field day if he tries doing too much.

On the flip side, Patrick Mahomes glides into this affair seeking his fifth straight win. The artist under center continues painting masterpieces, gaining 8.3 yards per attempt while completing 67.8% of his throws. Mahomes’ athleticism and spatial awareness also help him overcome patchy pass protection. And even if pressured, his trust in Kelce and former Steeler JuJu Smith-Schuster gives him two erasers over the middle. Buffalo must keep Mahomes contained in the pocket, else his flair for the highlight-reel may bury them early.


NFL Odds/Point Spread: Kansas City Chiefs -155, Total Odds: 47

The Chiefs are favored in this matchup, but the close spread indicates an expected tight contest. The total set at 47 points suggests anticipation of a high-scoring affair, fitting for teams with strong offensive capabilities.


Buffalo Bills Betting Trends

The Bills have trended heavily toward the under recently, hitting the under in 4 of their past 5 contests. Buffalo has also struggled against the spread away from home, covering just once in their previous 5 road outings. Against the Chiefs specifically, the under has hit in 13 of the last 20 meetings between these clubs. The total has also stayed beneath the line in 7 of Kansas City’s past 8 at Arrowhead.


Kansas City Chiefs Betting Trends

Mahomes and company have been on a tear for bettors, going 16-4 overall in their last 20 games. Kansas City has also excelled at home this season, covering in 6 of their last 8 in front of their home fans. Historically, Chiefs/Bills shootouts are commonplace, with the over hitting in 5 of the last 7 clashes in Kansas City.


Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs 12/10/23 Betting Picks

Analyzing the stats and trends, the Chiefs seem to have a slight edge, especially playing at home where they’ve been dominant. The Bills, however, are not to be underestimated, as they have the firepower to keep up with Kansas City’s high-scoring offense.

When choosing the better pick, the Chiefs appear to be a safer bet, especially given their consistency this season. For prop bets, focusing on quarterbacks’ passing yards and touchdowns could be intriguing. The over/under is a tougher call, but given the offensive strength of both teams, the over might be appealing.

For those engaged in live betting, this game provides an exciting opportunity to bet on in-game shifts and performances, especially considering the dynamic nature of both offenses.


Free Pick and Prediction: Kansas City Chiefs 31, Buffalo Bills 28

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