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NCAAF Week 13 Betting Prediction: Bowling Green Falcons vs. Western Michigan Broncos 11/21/2023

Bowling Green Falcons (6-5) vs. Western Michigan Broncos (4-7)

As NCAAF season ramps up, Tuesday night’s match between Bowling Green Falcons and Western Michigan Broncos should provide an exciting Week 13 encounter. Both teams boast impressive records (6-5 for Bowling Green compared to 4-7 for Western Michigan; it will certainly make for a competitive game at Waldo Stadium and on ESPU broadcast. NCAAF picks enthusiasts and fans alike are sure to appreciate its impactful matchup!

Bowling Green’s performance this year has been one of resilience and unpredictability. Terion Stewart has been outstanding, amassing 762 rushing yards and 8 touchdowns while wide receiver Odieu Hiliare has proven indispensable with 31 receptions and two touchdowns, providing crucial targets in tight situations.

Conversely, Western Michigan should not be underestimated despite their less impressive record. Running Back Jalen Buckley led their offense with 918 rushing yards and nine touchdowns and his agility and speed made him an effective threat on offense. Meanwhile Kenneth Womack, with 68 receptions under his belt provided balance to Western Michigan’s receiving corps, creating a well-balanced offensive unit.


Bowling Green Falcons vs. Western Michigan Broncos Game Info

When: Tuesday, November 21, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET
Where: Waldo Stadium
Stream: Sofascore


Connor Bazelak QB vs. Hayden Wolff QB

Connor Bazelak has had an inconsistent yet impressive season as quarterback for Bowling Green Falcons. Completing 129 passes out of 215 attempts and amassing 1497 passing yards are testaments to his ability to drive an offense forward; yet his performance has been marred by inconsistency as evidenced by 7 interceptions and 20 sacks which illustrate his susceptibility to high pressure defense strategies. Although his passer rating of 125.0 remains respectable, greater precision and poise in the pocket would improve Bazelak’s approach which blends bold passes with calculated risks has cemented his role within Bowling Green Falcons offensive strategy.

Hayden Wolff of the Western Michigan Broncos has shown exceptional control and precision in his role. His completion rate of 65.8% over 199 passing attempts and 1382 yards indicates an ability to read defenses effectively and deliver accurate throws. Bazelak had significantly fewer interceptions (3) and sacks (13) compared to him, coupled with a higher passer rating of 134.4, suggesting a more calculated and composed style of play. Wolff is known to remain calm under pressure and make calculated decisions under pressure – both traits which will prove invaluable for the Broncos in beating out Falcons defense. 


NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: Bowling Green Falcons -115, Total Odds: 53.5 

The betting odds place the Falcons slightly ahead, but the slim point spread suggests a closely contested game. The total odds indicating a preference for a high-scoring affair, add an interesting dimension for bettors.


Bowling Green Falcons Betting Trends

The Falcons have recently displayed an ability to outshone expectations with four out of their last five underperformances against the Broncos (4-1 against-the-spread; 4-12 ATS in 16 encounters), yet high scoring games involving overs have occurred in four of these five games – which may play into their strategy of aggressive offense.


Western Michigan Broncos Betting Trends

The Broncos have proven resilient against the spread, going 6-2 against it over their last eight games. Their propensity to engage in high-scoring battles is evident with 7 of 9 games going over total score. Their history against Bowling Green’s Falcons (5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games against Bowling Green), however, indicates they could hold an edge in this matchup.


Bowling Green Falcons vs. Western Michigan Broncos 11/21/23 Betting Picks

Considered data and trends, this game should be an exciting contest. Both teams have proven their scoring prowess, yet the Falcons may have the edge with their slightly better record and offensive versatility giving them an edge; but Denver remains a formidable adversary due to home advantage and recent ATS trends.

Bettors in this matchup face an exciting but complex challenge. With its tight spread suggesting an evenly-matched game and both teams’ propensity for high-scoring contests, oddsmakers tend to favor an OVER.

In terms of top online betting, prop bets on individual player performances, such as Terion Stewart or Jalen Buckley reaching certain rushing yards, could offer value. The over/under on total points is another intriguing aspect, with the likelihood of a high-scoring game.


Free Pick and Prediction: Bowling Green Falcons 30, Western Michigan Broncos 27

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