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MLB Betting Prediction: Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins 7/4/2024

Boston Red Sox (44-39) vs. Miami Marlins (30-54)

As the calendar flips to July and the nation prepares for Independence Day celebrations, the MLB also gears up for a showdown at loanDepot park where the Boston Red Sox face the Miami Marlins. With the Red Sox holding a fairly solid record of 44-39 compared to the Marlins’ struggling 30-54, the stakes are high for both teams. Set for July 4, 2024, at 1:10 PM ET, this game not only draws fans but also bettors looking for savvy MLB betting picks as these teams battle under the summer heat.

The Boston Red Sox team has a batting average of .252 and scored 92 home runs this season, which demonstrates the power play of the team. The team’s on base percentage is .321 and slugging is at .419 which gives a picture of a team that can both get base runners on and drive them in. Still, the pitchers produced a combined ERA of 3.67 and WHIP of 1.2 that will have to be slashing, especially due to the many runs they have conceded in current matches.

The Miami Marlins on the other hand has a batting average of lower .230 with only 65 home runs, no power hitting as evident for the Red Sox. An on-base percentage of .279 and a slugging of .348 implies that the Marlins are most of the time not capable of creating a considerable amount of offense. Their batting has also been poorly accompanied by their poor pitching which has seen their team ERA stand at 4.5 and the WHIP of 1.35 meaning that their opponents have had more chances to score.


Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins Game Info

When: Thursday, July 4, 2024 at 1:10 PM ET
Where: loanDepot park
Stream: MLB.TV


Nick Pivetta (4-5, 4.52 ERA) vs. Kyle Tyler (0-1, 3.38 ERA)

Nick Pivetta of the Red Sox also brought a bag to the mound carrying a 4-5 record as a pitcher with an ERA of 4.52 having pitched for 61.2 innings. If there is one area of concern it is home runs that we saw with 13 of them; however, 68 Ks are great. Pivetta is a strikeout pitcher, which is helpful when it comes to facing the Marlins; however, he needs to be incredibly careful with the long balls.

Of the Marlins, Kyle Tyler with less activity this season, only 10.2 innings pitched, has great indication with a 3.38 ERA, and a managed WHIP of 1.22. His sample size might be an issue, but what can be said about the fact that Tyler has shown that he can step up, which will be a major plus for the Marlins if he does not allow himself to get too rattled and issues too many free passes.


MLB Odds/Point Spread: TBD, Total Odds: TBD

With the betting lines still to be determined, early indicators might favor the Red Sox given their superior record and offensive stats. However, bettors should keep an eye on updated odds as they reflect the market’s confidence in either team’s current form and pitching matchups.


Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Red Sox have shown they can hit and score but have been inconsistent against the spread, particularly on the road where they are 22-18 ATS. Their recent games trending OVER suggests that their offense can put up numbers but also that their pitching might let through as many runs.


Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Marlins, while not as dominant, have managed to keep their head above water against the spread in their recent matchups, going 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games. The OVER has cashed in 28 of their last 43 home games, indicating that games at loanDepot park tend to see higher scores, possibly due to their pitching struggles.


Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins 7/4/24 Betting Picks

Considering the overall dynamics and recent performances, the Red Sox might have the upper hand in this game, but the Marlins could be surprised if their pitching holds up and they exploit any lapses by Red Sox’s pitchers. My recommendation leans towards a potentially high-scoring game, given both teams’ recent trends with the totals.

In terms of which team to back, Boston’s stronger lineup and slightly better pitching should be the safer bet, despite the Marlins’ resilience at home. Look for prop bets focusing on individual performances, especially strikeouts and home runs, which could provide additional value beyond the standard lines. Additionally, for those engaging with top online casino sportsbooks, exploring live betting options during the game can offer opportunities as the game dynamics unfold.


Free Pick and Prediction: Boston Red Sox 6, Miami Marlins 4

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