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Atlanta Falcons vs. Arizona Cardinals 11/12/23 NFL Week 10 Odds, Picks, and Predictions

Atlanta Falcons (4-5) vs. Arizona Cardinals (1-8)

As the Atlanta Falcons prepare to square off against the Arizona Cardinals in a Week 10 matchup, the contrasting standings reflect the season’s narratives for both squads. With a 4-5 record, the Falcons are hoping to nudge closer to a .500 standing, whereas the Cardinals are aiming to salvage pride from a dismal 1-8 outset. This clash at State Farm Stadium promises to be an intriguing encounter, one that has piqued interest in the NFL picks and prediction circuits due to the close betting lines and the potential for an upset.

The Falcons’ season thus far has been a rollercoaster of results, reflected in their near-even win-loss record. A closer look at their offense shows a commitment to the running game, with Bijan Robinson providing a consistent ground threat. With an average of 5.1 yards per carry, his ability to break for big gains is evident, although touchdowns have been scarce. In the air, Drake London has emerged as a reliable target for Desmond Ridder. London’s ability to create after the catch has been crucial, and his 24 receiving first downs signal his importance on crucial plays.

In stark contrast, the Arizona Cardinals’ story this season has been one of frustration and missed opportunities. However, their rushing attack, led by James Conner, shows signs of potential, averaging a commendable 5.4 yards per attempt. Conner’s performance has been a bright spot, demonstrating effectiveness when called upon, although his sample size is limited. Marquise Brown’s receiving stats draw attention as well, suggesting that when the Cardinals take flight, he is often the primary beneficiary. Despite fewer yards per reception compared to his Falcons counterpart, Brown has proven to be a touchdown threat with double the scoring grabs of London.


Atlanta Falcons vs. Arizona Cardinals Game Info

When: Sunday, November 12, 2023 at 4:05 PM ET
Where: State Farm Stadium
Stream: NFL Game Pass


Desmond Ridder QB vs. Joshua Dobbs QB

Desmond Ridder‘s quarterback play for Atlanta, while not elite, has been serviceable and sometimes quite effective, especially considering his solid completion percentage and average passing yards per game. However, Ridder’s touchdown-to-interception ratio and total sacks suggest room for improvement and adaptation under pressure. His ability to connect with London has been a highlight, but the Falcons will need more from him to secure a win.

Joshua Dobbs of the Cardinals paints a similar picture, with a slightly lower completion percentage and fewer yards per attempt. Dobbs’ rating is a shade under Ridder’s, reflecting the struggles Arizona has had in the passing game. However, with a long pass that outstrips Ridder’s best, Dobbs shows he can stretch the field when given the opportunity.


NFL Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta Falcons -115, Total Odds: 41.5

The betting odds are incredibly tight, with the Falcons barely favored by a half-point spread and a slim -115 on the moneyline. This signals the expected competitiveness of the game, despite the differing records. The total set at 41.5 suggests that oddsmakers anticipate a lower-scoring affair, likely reflecting both teams’ struggles to consistently find the end zone.


Atlanta Falcons Betting Trends

The Falcons’ trends don’t inspire much confidence for bettors, with a discouraging 1-7 against the spread (ATS) in their last 8 games. Moreover, the tendency to go UNDER in 11 out of the last 15 games is something that bettors may wish to consider, especially given the set total for this matchup. However, their past success against Arizona, particularly a 4-1 straight up (SU) in their last five meetings, provides a glimmer of hope.


Arizona Cardinals Betting Trends

The Cardinals’ betting trends are equally bleak, with a 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. Their failure to secure wins at home with a 2-16 SU in their last 18 home games is a stark indicator of their struggles. Nonetheless, the trend of going OVER in 4 of the last 5 games against the Falcons might be of interest to those considering the total.


Atlanta Falcons vs. Arizona Cardinals 11/12/23 Betting Picks

In weighing the data and the teams’ performances, the narrow spread is reflective of the potential for either team to seize control. The Falcons seem to have the edge in historical matchups, and the Cardinals’ home woes suggest that trend may continue. However, the Cardinals’ capacity to outperform expectations at home against Atlanta (8-1 SU in their last 9 home games against the Falcons) cannot be overlooked.

Determining the better pick involves balancing the Falcons’ modest winning record against the Cardinals’ struggle for victories. Prop bets could be centered around individual player performances, particularly the rushers, given both teams’ effectiveness on the ground. For the total, the under might be appealing, considering both teams’ recent trends and the Falcons’ defensive capability. Online betting enthusiasts will find value in scrutinizing these aspects closely.


Free Pick and Prediction: Atlanta Falcons 23, Arizona Cardinals 20

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