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Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins 9/17/23 MLB Odds, Analysis, and Prediction

Atlanta Braves (96-52) vs. Miami Marlins (77-72)

Approaching the final stretch of Major League Baseball season, the Atlanta Braves, with a record of 96-52, are set to square off against the Miami Marlins (77-72) on September 17, 2023. Leading their division and looking strong at this point in time, while the Marlins aim to improve their standings and secure playoff qualification. For bettors interested in MLB betting picks and odds, this game offers plenty of factors worth taking into consideration.

The Atlanta Braves have had an outstanding season so far, posting an impressive 96-52 record. Boasting an exemplary batting average of .275 and boasting an outstanding lineup with 858 runs scored, 1393 hits made, and 283 homers hit, their batting average is an offensive powerhouse with their powerful hitting force accounting for 858 runs and 283 homers. They also possess outstanding defensive capabilities; opponents average only .242 while when hitting, extra bases are hit, adding another dimension to their potency on offense.

The Marlins, although less high-flying than their rival, the Braves, are no pushovers either. They have amassed an impressive 77-72 record this season with a respectable .257 batting average, 602 runs scored, and 149 homers. Their pitching stats include 4.2 ERA and 1.29 WHIP, which puts them not too far off from Atlanta’s numbers; their pitching numbers reveal 4.2 ERA, which surprisingly puts them very close behind Atlanta when it comes to their Sunday jinx, with 12-5 wins being used against opponents within National League competition alone, the Marlins have plenty of weapons at their disposal to prevail and make every game count this Sunday afternoon.


Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Game Info


When: Sunday, September 17, 2023 at 1:40 PM ET 
Where: loanDepot park
Stream MLB.TV


Charlie Morton (14-11, 3.42 ERA) vs. Jesus Luzardo (9-9, 3.82 ERA)

Charlie Morton entered this season boasting a 14-11 win-loss record, 3.42 ERA, and 1.4 WHIP over 157.2 innings pitched. In that time, he allowed 144 hits, struck out 177, and walked 76 while producing 13 homers – an indication of Morton’s experience keeping runs off the board. In contrast, his vast postseason experience gives him the mental toughness needed for high-pressure games.

Jesus Luzardo will take the mound for the Marlins on Wednesday. Luzardo boasts a 9-9 win-loss record with an ERA just slightly above Morton’s, yet his WHIP stands out at 1.25. Over 160.1 innings pitched, he has allowed 152 hits, struck out 186 batters while walking 49 times, and allowed 22 homers. Luzardo’s higher strikeout numbers suggest his ability to escape jams when necessary. In contrast, his lower number of walks shows superior control compared with Morton, which could prove instrumental if needed in tight games. 


MLB Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta Braves -135, Total Odds: 8.5

The current odds favor the Braves with a Spread of -1.5 (+125), a Moneyline of -135, and a Total of 8.5 over (-115). Conversely, the Marlins have a Spread of +1.5 (-145), a Moneyline of +124, and a Total of 8.5 under (-105).


Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Braves have been hot lately. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta’s last 6 games, and they have an impressive 15-5 straight-up record in their last 20 games against Miami. Atlanta also performs well on the road with the total going OVER in 4 of their last 5 road games, specifically against Miami. However, it’s worth noting that the Braves are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games played on a Sunday.


Miami Marlins Betting Trends

Miami also has compelling trends. The total has gone OVER in 10 of Miami’s last 15 games, and they are 11-5 SU in their last 16 games. When facing Atlanta, the total has usually gone OVER, specifically in 6 of the last 7 games. Home games have been advantageous for Miami as well, with the total going OVER in their last 5 home games.


Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins 9/17/23 Betting Picks

Considering the trends, team stats, and starting pitcher matchups, this game appears to favor Atlanta, making them a solid pick for top sports betting. However, considering both teams have been part of high-scoring games lately, the safest bet might be to go for the OVER on the total of 8.5 runs. If you’re looking for baseball tips, leaning towards Atlanta to win and betting on a total of OVER 8.5 seems like a solid strategy based on current form, trends, and statistics. Enjoy the game, and best of luck with your wagers!

Free Pick and Prediction: Atlanta Braves will win 6-4

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