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NFL Week 11 Betting Prediction: Arizona Cardinals vs. Houston Texans 11/19/2023

Arizona Cardinals (2-8) vs. Houston Texans (5-4)

In an exciting Week 11 NFL matchup, the Arizona Cardinals face the Houston Texans. Set for Sunday, this contest promises to be an important test as both teams look ahead to navigating the rest of their seasons. Fans and bettors alike are eagerly searching for an NFL winning pick in this matchup taking place at NRG Stadium and broadcasted on CBS.

The Cardinals’ offensive strategy has relied heavily on their rushing and receiving games. Running back James Conner has been an incredible contributor, amassing 437 yards rushing in just 6 games at an average 5.2 yard per attempt average, which has proven instrumental to their ground game strategy. Marquise Brown, in contrast, has excelled as an aerial threat with 43 receptions for 468 yards over 10 games at 10.9 average reception length per catch; making his contribution crucial.

Turning our attention back to the Texans, their offense boasts an effective balance. C.J. Stroud has had an admirable season under center but their versatility can be seen most clearly in their running and receiving departments. Devin Singletary played 9 games with 359 rushing yards for an average 3.9 yards per attempt while wide receiver Nico Collins has become an indispensable member of their passing game accumulating 631 yards on 36 receptions over 8 games, an average 17.5 average yards per catch which makes him a significant asset within their offensive arsenal.

 

Arizona Cardinals vs. Houston Texans Game Info

When: Sunday, November 19, 2023 at 1:00 PM ET
Where: NRG Stadium
TV: CBS
Stream: NFL Game Pass

 

Joshua Dobbs QB vs. C.J. Stroud QB

Joshua Dobbs, quarterback for the Cardinals, has had a challenging season with a passer rating of 81.2 across 8 games. He’s completed 167 out of 266 attempts, accumulating 1569 yards. His performance has been hampered by 17 sacks and 5 interceptions, indicating some areas for improvement in terms of pocket presence and decision-making.

On the other hand, C.J. Stroud of the Texans has been more effective, boasting a passer rating of 101. In his 9 games, he’s completed 196 of 318 attempts for 2626 yards. Stroud’s ability to maintain a high completion rate and minimize interceptions (only 2 this season) has been key to the Texans’ offensive success.

 

NFL Odds/Point Spread: Houston Texans -180, Total Odds: 46.5

The betting odds slightly favor the Houston Texans with a -2.5 point spread and a moneyline of -180, indicating a close contest. The total for the game is set at 46.5, with the over at -105 and the under at -116, suggesting expectations of a moderately high-scoring game.

 

Arizona Cardinals Betting Trends

The Cardinals have struggled against the spread, going 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games. Their record on the road is particularly concerning, with an 0-8 SU in their last 8 away games. These trends reflect a team that has had significant challenges in maintaining consistent performance, especially in unfamiliar environments.

 

Houston Texans Betting Trends

The Texans, on the other hand, are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games, though they have a concerning 4-15-1 home record in their last 20 games. Their overall trend of 5-2 SU in their last 7 games, however, indicates a team finding ways to win, despite some inconsistencies.

 

Arizona Cardinals vs. Houston Texans 11/19/23 Betting Picks

Considering the data and trends, the Houston Texans appear to be the safer bet in this matchup. Their more consistent performance, especially from their quarterback, gives them an edge. However, the Cardinals, despite their struggles, have shown potential in flashes, particularly in their rushing game.

The better pick seems to be backing the Houston Texans to cover the spread. The over/under is trickier, but given the Texans’ recent trend of going under and the Cardinals’ inconsistency in scoring, betting on the under might be the more cautious approach. As for prop bets, considering Nico Collins for an anytime touchdown scorer could be a valuable option, given his impressive stats.

In conclusion, the top sportsbooks seem to align with the Texans as the more probable victors. Their steadier quarterback play and recent form make them the more appealing choice. As always, bettors should consider these insights while also keeping an eye on any late-breaking news or changes before the game.

 

Free Pick and Prediction: Houston Texans 27, Arizona Cardinals 17

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