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UFC 301 Betting Prediction: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Steve Erceg 5/4/2024

UFC 301 Betting Prediction: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Steve Erceg 5/4/2024

As UFC 301 approaches, the spotlight shines on the flyweight title bout featuring Alexandre “The Cannibal” Pantoja and Steve “Astroboy” Erceg. Scheduled for May 4, 2024, at the Farmasi Arena in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, this match promises explosive action and intriguing matchups for fans and bettors alike. With a record of 27-5-0, Pantoja enters as the favorite against Erceg, who boasts a 12-1-0 record. This fight is not just a test of skill but also a crucial moment for UFC 301 betting predictions, considering the experienced Pantoja against the rising Erceg.


Alexandre Pantoja vs. Steve Erceg Game Info

When: Saturday, May 4, 2024 at 10:00 PM ET
Where: Farmasi Arena Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil


Alexandre Pantoja Analysis

Alexandre Pantoja, proud of his fighting prowess and free from a single draw, gained the reputation of being an experienced warrior. He managed to accumulate a record of 27 wins with 5 losses. Averaging 12:In the regions of 10 minutes per game, Pantoja is one of the warriors who is skillful in striking, He scores and delivers an average of 4.32 significant strikes per minute with the striking accuracy of 49%. Accordingly in wrestling, he tops the scoreboard with 2.20 takedowns every 15 minutes of the game with 48% takedown accuracy. While many doubted, his last victory against Royval clearly indicated his superiority and intra-ring tactics. These are just a few of his good sides and his record, that is why he is considered a hard nut to crack. In a way it can have an influence on the final results.


Steve Erceg Analysis

Steve Erceg, even though he has not much experience, had a chance and gave proof of his ability in the short period of his UFC which he participated in. With a record of 12-1-0, Erceg maintains an average fight time slightly shorter than Pantoja’s at 11:49. He does a huge damage on average of 4.57 significant strikes until he misses 1 strike and this would lead him to 48% accuracy of striking. As for points, Erceg’s takedown defense is 77%, which is higher than his opponent’s 24%. However, his points for takedowns are not as high as Pantoja is, only 30%. Last time (against Schnell) showed that he not only could handle the calculated and tactical fight there, but that he could also beat his rival- hence his prospects for the upcoming match are very high.


Alexandre Pantoja vs. Steve Erceg Stats

Pantoja Erceg
Wins/Losses/Draws 27-5-0 12-1-0
Average Fight Time 12:10 11:49
Height 5′ 5″ 5′ 8″
Weight 125 lbs. 125 lbs.
Reach 67″ 68″
Stance Orthodox Orthodox
Strikes Landed per Min. 4.32 4.57
Striking Accuracy 49% 48%
Strikes Absorbed per Min. 3.90 3.64
Defense 50% 55%
Takedowns Average/15 min. 2.20 1.69
Takedown Accuracy 48% 30%
Takedown Defense 67% 77%
Submission Average/15 min. 1.0 0.8


Alexandre Pantoja vs. Steve Erceg Betting Picks

After a thorough examination of both fighters, Pantoja is seen to have a certain advantage because of his experience and a slightly better average ratings of his striking and grappling skills. Yet, defending and absorbing the punches accurately and safely with a rate of 55% defense that Pantoja has 50%, is undeniable. This match could be closer than the odds show thus making it the most attractive proposition for punters.

When considering betting picks, one must weigh Pantoja’s experience and solid track record against Erceg promising yet less proven capabilities. Given Pantoja’s performance in longer and more high-profile fights, he appears to be the safer bet, particularly with his ability to execute under pressure.


Free Pick: Alexandre Pantoja -275

As UFC 301 nears, and with both fighters preparing for one of the year’s most anticipated bouts, this event is also a prime opportunity for bettors to engage with top live betting sites. These platforms offer dynamic odds that reflect the unfolding action, providing a thrilling way to participate in the event. Whether you’re rooting for the seasoned Pantoja or the dynamic newcomer Erceg, UFC 301 is set to be a memorable chapter in UFC history.

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