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Atlanta Falcons vs. Jacksonville Jaguars 10/01/23 NFL Week 4 Odds, Picks, and Predictions

Atlanta Falcons (2-1) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (1-2)

As we advance into the NFL season, the Atlanta Falcons are set to square off against the Jacksonville Jaguars in an anticipated Week 4 matchup. The Falcons, holding a slight edge with a 2-1 record, are looking to solidify their winning start. Conversely, the Jaguars, sitting at 1-2, are determined to equalize their record. The backdrop of this contest is none other than the iconic Wembley Stadium. With an early kickoff at 9:30 AM ET and a live broadcast on ESP+, fans are in for an exhilarating showdown. And for the betting enthusiasts who like to couple their sports with some of the best casinos online, this game is expected to provide plenty of thrill and opportunities.

The Atlanta Falcons have showcased a balanced approach in their opening games. Their running back, Bijan Robinson, has emerged as a vital asset, averaging an impressive 5.5 yards per carry. With 213 yards over the initial three games, he’s showing he’s not one to be underestimated. Complementing him in the offense, wide receiver Mack Hollins has amassed 114 receiving yards, proving to be a reliable target, though yet to find the end zone.

On the other side, the Jacksonville Jaguars have been riding on the performances of their offensive duo, running back Travis Etienne Jr. and wide receiver Christian Kirk. Etienne, racking up 205 rushing yards and a touchdown, is gradually establishing himself as the Jaguars’ primary rusher. Kirk, on the other hand, has been Lawrence’s go-to receiver, securing 173 yards and a touchdown, making him a significant threat in the passing game.


Atlanta Falcons vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Game Info

When: Sunday, October 1, 2023 at 9:30 AM ET
Where: Lambeau Field
Stream: NFL Game Pass


Desmond Ridder QB vs. Trevor Lawrence QB

Quarterback Desmond Ridder of the Falcons has shown consistency early in the season. With a completion percentage of 62.5, he’s managed to accumulate 553 passing yards in the first three games. While his statistics are commendable, his ability to remain poised under pressure and his decision-making skills, especially after taking 12 sacks, will be crucial in determining the game’s outcome.

Opposing him, Trevor Lawrence of the Jaguars, the young sensation, has thrown for 736 yards, completing a commendable 64.6% of his passes. With three touchdowns and two interceptions, Lawrence’s deep ball and pocket awareness will be critical components if the Jags aim to exploit the Falcons’ secondary. His chemistry with wideout Christian Kirk can’t be understated and will be a pairing to keep an eye on.


NFL Odds/Point Spread: Jacksonville Jaguars -165, Total Odds: 43.5 

Analyzing the odds, the Jaguars are the slight favorites in this matchup. However, given the recent form of the Falcons and their past head-to-head records, this game promises to be much closer than the odds suggest.


Atlanta Falcons Betting Trends

The Falcons are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games, indicating some inconsistency when it comes to beating the spread. They’ve also gone UNDER the total in 5 of their last 6 matchups. Despite their overall positive record this season, they’ve struggled on the road, going 0-6 SU in their recent away games. Impressively, they’ve had the upper hand against the Jags, with a 5-1 SU record in their last six encounters.


Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Trends

The Jaguars have found success ATS, boasting a 6-1 record in their last seven. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of their last 5 games, suggesting a defensive strategy in play. They’ve shown resilience at home, recording a 5-0 SU in their last 5 home games. However, when facing NFC opponents, they’ve been less successful, going 1-19 SU in their last 20 games.


Atlanta Falcons vs. Jacksonville Jaguars 10/01/23 Betting Picks

This game sets up to be a tight contest, with both teams showcasing their young talents and aiming to cement their position early in the season. The Falcons, with their recent edge over the Jags, might feel they have the psychological advantage. However, the Jags, playing closer to home, might find the European crowd behind them.

Considering the odds, the performance metrics, and recent forms, a close game is anticipated. With both teams having potent offensive weapons, the game could swing either way based on a few critical plays or decisions.

With NFL Week 4 picks today, the recommendation would be to lean towards the Falcons on the spread, given their success against the Jaguars. Additionally, considering the recent trend of both teams and their defensive strengths, the UNDER 43.5 seems like a plausible bet.

Free Pick and Prediction: Atlanta Falcons 21, Jacksonville Jaguars 20

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