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Washington Nationals vs San Francisco Giants 5/9/2023 Analysis, Odds and Free Picks

Washington Nationals vs San Francisco Giants 5/9/2023 Analysis, Odds and Free Picks

The Washington Nationals are off to a rough start this season and are currently at the bottom of the NL East standings with a 14-20 record. Despite their record, they have not been as bad as some might expect from a young team. Left-hander Patrick Corbin will take the mound for the Nationals, fresh off a solid performance against the Chicago Cubs, where he allowed only two runs on three hits with six strikeouts and zero walks in seven innings of work. The San Francisco Giants, who sit in fourth place in the NL West with a 15-18 record, haven’t had the best start to their season either. They will be starting right-hander Logan Webb, who is coming off a win over the Houston Astros. Webb gave up two runs on five hits with five Ks and two walks in 7.2 innings of work.

The Nationals have struggled at the plate this season, ranking 28th in the majors with a .673 team OPS and averaging only 3.88 runs per game. One of their biggest challenges has been their inability to draw walks, with only 91 walks as a team, tied for second-worst in the league with the Philadelphia Phillies. However, center fielder Victor Robles has been a bright spot for the Nationals, leading the team at the plate with a .292/.388/.360 slash line, eight RBI, 13 runs scored, and eight stolen bases on nine attempts. Corbin has had his struggles this season according to his Baseball Savant page, ranking in the fifth percentile in xBA, 13th percentile in strikeout percentage, 15th percentile in xSLG, and 16th percentile in xERA. He throws a four-pitch arsenal consisting of a sinker, slider, fastball, and changeup, with his slider being his best pitch. 

  • The Washington Nationals are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games.
  • Washington is 3-7 SU in their last 10 matches with San Francisco.
  • The total stayed UNDER in 8 of Washington’s last 12 games on the road.

Washington Nationals vs San Francisco Giants 5/9/2023 Analysis, Odds and Free Picks

The San Francisco Giants have been swinging the bat well this season, as they have a .748 team OPS and average 4.48 runs per game, which are both above the league median. They also have a lot of pop, as they have hit 54 home runs as a team, which is fourth in the majors (third in NL). Their 1B LaMonte Wade has been impressive, with a .953 OPS, six homers, 10 RBI, 14 runs scored, and a steal without being caught.

Logan Webb layed well this season, according to his Baseball Savant page. He has a low walk rate, a high chase rate, a good strikeout rate, and an expected ERA that is better than average. He throws four pitches (sinker, changeup, slider, fastball) and his slider is his best pitch, as it has a low batting average and slugging percentage against. He also fared well against the Nationals last year, going 2-0 in 12.2 innings and giving up six runs on 18 hits with two walks and nine strikeouts.

  • San Francisco are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco’s last 5 games against Washington.
  • San Francisco are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games at home.

Washington Nationals vs San Francisco Giants. The MLB pick for this game is the San Francisco Giants. The Nationals and the Giants have been struggling this season and have not been able to find their groove. The Nationals’ and Giants’ hitters have been average this season but they are not the main issue, it’s the pitching. Logan Webb and Patrick Corbin will probably give up a lot of hits and runs. Bet on the over. My prediction: San Francisco Giants 7, Washington Nationals 6.

MLB Starting Time: 9:45 PM ET

Location:  Oracle Park in San Francisco, CA

Date: Tuesday, May 9, 2023


MLB Odds: San Francisco Giants -238

MLB Totals: 8.0

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