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UFC 293: Justin Tafa vs. Austen Lane 9/9/23 Tips, Analysis, and Picks

As attention turns towards UFC 293, anticipation builds for Justin “Bad Man” Tafa and Austen Lane’s heavyweight match at Sydney’s Qudos Bank Arena on September 9, 2023 at 10 PM ET. This article offers an intricate analysis of each fighter, aiming to provide our MMA picks today by looking at their styles, past performances, statistical metrics, and outcomes to offer an educated prediction regarding possible outcomes of this battle.


Justin Tafa vs. Austen Lane Game Info 

When: Saturday, September 9, 2023 at 10:00 PM ET
Where: Qudos Bank Arena in Sydney, New South Wales, Australia


Justin Tafa Analysis

Tafa, with his record of 6 victories, 3 losses, and one no-contest fight is an MMA heavyweight division standout. At 6 feet and 264 pounds, he displays power and skill that are unrivaled by most others in the division.

Tafa averages 5.02 significant strikes per minute, making his striking game not just about volume but also accuracy. His strikes are strategic, often targeting weak spots of opponents or taking advantage of any openings. Tafa is especially lethal early in fights when opponents struggle to figure out how best to defend against his relentless assault. Boasting an impressive 49% striking defense rate demonstrates Tafa’s resilience and ability to anticipate and counter opponents’ offensive maneuvers in real time – an impressive feat indeed!

Tafa clearly prefers stand-up combat, evidenced by his 100% takedown defense rate; this choice was both deliberate and strategic. By emphasizing stand-up game tactics, Tafa keeps the fight within his domain utilizing his striking strengths to stay in his realm and capitalize. In addition to physical attributes and metrics, he possesses an intuitive understanding of pacing; he knows when to engage, defend, or turn the tide – making him a difficult challenge for opponents to solve.


Austen Lane Analysis

Lane enters the Octagon with an impressive record of 12 wins, 3 losses and one no-contest. His physicality creates unique challenges for opponents; his height advantage allows him to use an extended striking range where counter attacks are relatively safe from counter strikes; this often forces them into making riskier choices to close gaps between strikes and counters.

Lane employs a more calculated strategy than Tafa with 4.33 significant strikes landing per minute on average, relying on well-timed, powerful strikes at strategic moments – often waiting for opponents to initiate moves before striking first and exploiting vulnerabilities. His defensive statistics are especially impressive: an absorption rate of only 1.67 strikes per minute combined with 62% striking defense rates demonstrate his remarkable ability to avoid damage. This proves especially crucial in long-drawn battles where cumulative damage could tip the scales against him.

Stand-Up Focus: Lane’s stats reveal his preference for stand-up combat over ground game play, which could be both seen as both an asset and liability. His stand-up game may be stellar; however, astute opponents could use Lane’s lack of ground game emphasis as an opening. Lane often dictates fight tempo through his height and reach advantage – forcing adversaries to adapt rather than vice versa.


Justin Tafa vs. Austen Lane Stats

Tafa Lane
Wins/Losses/Draws 6-3-0 (1 NC) 12-3-0 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time 5:22 2:00
Height 6′ 0″ 6′ 6″
Weight 264 lbs. 245 lbs.
Reach 74″ 80″
Stance Southpaw Orthodox
Strikes Landed per Min. 5.02 4.33
Striking Accuracy 54% 46%
Strikes Absorbed per Min. 5.95 1.67
Defense 49% 62%
Takedowns Average/15 min. 0.00 0.00
Takedown Accuracy 0% 0%
Takedown Defense 100% 0%
Submission Average/15 min. 0.0 0.0


Justin Tafa vs. Austen Lane Free Pick

Tafa-Lane duels promise an exciting strategic stand-up war given their respective styles and strengths, such as Tafa’s aggressive striking against Lane’s counterpunching prowess or Tafa’s overall combative experience vs. Lane’s more focused stand-up game – these matches present many contrasts to be reckoned with. Though Tafa might appear the favorite due to his balanced game, MMA’s unpredictable nature ensures nothing is certain. Lane may surprise many by using range control and exploiting his unique physical attributes to his advantage.


Pick: Justin Tafa -211

As UFC 293 draws closer, it becomes clear that the Tafa-Lane showdown isn’t just about two fighters with impressive records. It’s a clash of strategies, styles, and mental fortitudes. For aficionados and bettors alike, this bout offers a fascinating study of MMA dynamics and promises to be an unforgettable contest of skill and will. Those looking to place a wager might want to consult top betting sites for the latest odds and expert analyses.

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