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UFC 292: Zhang Weili vs Amanda Lemos 8/19/2023 Prediction, Analysis and Odds

UFC 292: Zhang Weili vs Amanda Lemos 8/19/2023 – Scheduled for UFC 292 on Saturday, August 19, 2023, Zhang Weili will step into the Octagon with Amanda Lemos. Weili opens at -330 in the initial odds; Lemos enters the match at +250.

Zhang Weili, nicknamed “Magnum,” enters this bout with a record of 23 wins and 3 losses. At age 34, she weighs 115 lbs and stands at a height of 5 feet 4 inches. Employing a switch fighting style, her arm span reaches 63 inches. Amanda Lemos stands at the same height of 5 feet 4 inches and carries a weight of 115 lbs. As a Southpaw fighter, she enters the cage with a professional record of 13 wins, 2 losses, and 1 draw. Lemos boasts a reach of 65 inches.

Analyzing their significant strike statistics, Zhang Weili is landing an average of 5.79 significant strikes per minute, whereas Amanda Lemos records 4.51 significant strikes per minute. Weili manages to connect with 47% of the significant strikes she attempts, while Lemos holds a higher accuracy at 57%. Regarding defensive capabilities, “Magnum” absorbs an average of 4.06 significant strikes per minute, while Lemos allows 3.97. Weili’s defense sees her evading 53% of the significant strikes thrown at her, and Lemos effectively deflects 50% of the strikes directed toward her.

UFC 292 Zhang Weili Amanda Lemos
Opening Odds -330 +250
Record 23-3-0 13-2-1
Average Fight Time 11:02 7:25
Height 5’4″ 5’4″
Weight 115 lbs 115 lbs
Reach 63″ 65″
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.79 4.51
Striking Accuracy 47% 57%


Zhang Weili vs Amanda Lemos Game Information

Location: TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts

Date: Saturday, Aug 19, 2023

Main Card: 10:00 PM ET

Prelims: 8:00 PM ET

Watch on: ESPN and ESPN+


In the realm of wrestling, Zhang Weili exhibits greater grappling prowess by successfully taking her opponents to the mat 1.97 times per 3 rounds. Weili achieves a takedown success rate of 34% and effectively defends against 66% of all takedown attempts made by her adversaries. On the other hand, Amanda Lemos manages to execute takedowns in 55% of her attempts and defends against 81% of takedowns aimed at her. Regarding submission attempts, Weili displays a lesser proficiency than Lemos, seeking 0.5 submissions per 15 minutes, whereas Lemos goes for 0.7 submissions per 3 rounds.

In her recent contest, Zhang Weili squared off against Carla Esparza, clinching victory through a rear naked choke in the second round. Esparza managed to land 19 of 50 total strikes she threw during the bout. Conversely, Weili connected with 42 of 90 total strikes. In the realm of significant strikes, Esparza’s success rate was 18%, landing 6 of 32. This percentage translates to 6 of 31 significant strikes directed at the head. Weili, on the other hand, achieved a 47% success rate in significant strikes, connecting with 37 of 78. Of these significant strikes, 20 of 58 were aimed at the head. Both Esparza and Weili directed 100% and 64% of their significant strikes respectively from a distance.

In Amanda Lemos’ recent encounter against Marina Rodriguez, she secured victory via a head punch in the third round. Rodriguez managed to land 94% of her significant strikes from a distance, while Lemos connected with 86% of the significant strikes received from a distance. Lemos achieved a 54% success rate in her significant strike attempts, landing 29 of 53. Among these, 16 of 36 significant strikes were directed at the head. Rodriguez, in contrast, landed 19 of 52 significant strikes, with 6 of 26 aimed at the head. Regarding total strikes, Rodriguez landed 44 of 78, while Lemos connected with 43 of 67 strikes thrown in total.

Amanda Lemos Fighting for UFC Title for the First Time

Former Jungle Fights champion Amanda Lemos joined the UFC in 2017. She is now 7-2 with defeats to Leslie Smith (TKO) and Jessica Andrade (submission) since that time. The UFC chose to give her a crack at the championship since she won both prior fights by stoppage. She will compete for the championship for the first time in this organization in the UFC 292 co-main event.

She will also be facing Weili for the first time, who is a very well-rounded foe. Lemos is an excellent hitter, but her grappling and wrestling abilities aren’t the best. Although “Karate Hottie” beat Michele Waterson by submission the previous year, Weili outperformed her on the mat.

Odds: Zhang Weili -330, Amanda Lemos +250

Zhang Weili vs Amanda Lemos. Zhang Weili is far superior to Amanda Lemos in all facets of mixed martial arts. Given that she recently achieved two great victories, she also likely has confidence on her side. We thus anticipate that she will finish the task before the allotted 25 minutes have passed.

Pick: Zhang Weili to win

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