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UFC 288: Drew Dober vs Matt Frevola 5/6/2023 Picks, Predictions and Analysis

UFC 288: Drew Dober vs Matt Frevola 5/6/2023 Picks, Predictions and Analysis

Drew Dober will look to extend his unbeaten streak to four fights when he faces Matt Frevola for a three-round lightweight bout on Saturday.Dober enjoyed an outstanding 2022, winning all three of his bouts by knockout. Now in 2023 he faces Frevola who also recently won two consecutive bouts via knockout. UFC betting odds are in favor of Drew Dober in this fight despite possessing equal knockout power to Frevola.

Drew Dober vs Matt Frevola

Date & Time: Saturday, May 6, 2023 at 8:00 PM ET

Location: Prudential Center, Newark, New Jersey, USA


Drew Dober vs Matt Frevola Betting Odds


Moneyline: -220


Moneyline: ‘+185

UFC 288: Drew Dober vs Matt Frevola 5/6/2023 Picks, Predictions and Analysis

Drew Dober vs Matt Frevola Analysis

Drew Dober enters the Octagon with a record of 26-11-0 with 1 NC. At 5′ 8″, and fighting at 155 lbs, the Southpaw fighter boasts an impressive wingspan of 70″. Matt “The SteamRolla” Frevola stands 5′ 9″, weighs in at 155 lbs, and sports an orthodox fighter record of 10-3-1. At 32 years old he can stretch 71″. Drew Dober has been landing 4.47 significant strikes per minute while Matt Frevola has managed 3.46. Dober connects on 40% of his significant strikes while Frevola achieves 41%. Dober consistently takes 4.40 significant strikes per minute when defending in the Octagon while Frevola absorbs 3.49 significant strikes per minute. Dober successfully deflects 51% of significant strikes directed his way, while Frevola can stop 59% of shots that come his way.

Dober has had tremendous success over his last 15 UFC fights, winning 11 of them. He accomplished this feat through three consecutive knockout wins against Terrance McKinney, Rafael Alves and Bobby Green in 2022. Dober has averaged 4.47 significant strikes landed per minute and holds a 51% defense rate. He holds 19 wins to his credit, with 13 knockouts. He must unleash all of his force against Frevola to gain ground in the 155-pound division.

Frevola has found his groove in recent bouts, knocking out Genaro Valdez and Ottman Azaitar with single round knockout victories. He hopes to make it three in a row against Dober, who also wields power in his hands. Frevola uses his grappling abilities to gain an advantage in his fights, then uses his striking capabilities to knock them out. Frevola has successfully executed 2.39 takedown connections every 15 minutes with 37% accuracy in terms of takedown accuracy. He can also submit opponents as evidenced by three submission victories. If he can take Dober to the mat and dominate him in any manner – potentially finding success and even moving up in the UFC lightweight rankings – his chances of victory should increase substantially.

Drew Dober vs Matt Frevola Free Pick

Both fighters possess excellent grappling and striking techniques; therefore, the one who executes their maneuvers first stands a greater chance of victory. Drew Dober is projected to prevail as per online UFC betting predictions.

Free Pick: Drew Dober -220

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