UFC 286: Chris Duncan vs Omar Morales 3/18/2023 Prediction, Best Bets and Odds
Chris Duncan’s first Contender Series bid ended in defeat due to Viacheslav Borshchev’s vicious left hook. Seven of his eight professional stoppage victories occurred via knockout. Omar Morales started off his Octagon career by upsetting Harvey Park on Contender Series before going on to defeat Dong Hyun Ma and Gabriel Benitez in consecutive fights. UFC betting predictions are updated online for the bettors to place their bets.
Chris Duncan vs Omar Morales
Date & Time: Saturday, March 18, 2023 at 2:00 PM ET
Location: O2 Arena, London, England
TV: ESPN+
Chris Duncan vs Omar Morales Betting Odds
Duncan
Moneyline: -118
Morales
Moneyline: -102
UFC 286: Chris Duncan vs Omar Morales 3/18/2023 Prediction, Best Bets and Odds
Chris Duncan vs Omar Morales Analysis
Chris “The Problem” Duncan enters the Octagon with an impressive 9-1-0 record. At 155 lbs and 5′ 10″, the 29-year-old can reach 71” with ease, and his significant strikes rate stands at 7.10 per minute. Chris Duncan is landing 44% of all significant strikes he attempts, giving him an impressive strike rate of 7.94 per minute. In his last appearance in the Octagon, Duncan faced Charlie Campbell and ultimately prevailed by way of a punch to the head in round 1. Campbell ultimately scored 16 of 37 total strikes thrown during that fight, while Duncan connected on 15 of 35 attempts. When it comes to significant strikes, Campbell hit 16 out 37 for a percentage of 43%. Campbell hit 8 of 28 significant strikes aimed at the head, while Duncan hit 15 of 35 from distance for a 42% success rate and 8 of 25 pointed directly at Campbell’s head. 87% of Campbell’s strikes and 86% by Duncan were direct hits.
Omar “Venezuelan Fighter” Morales stands at 5′ 11″, weighs in at 155 lbs and holds an impressive 11-3-0 record. At 37 years old, Morales can stretch 73″. On average, Omar lands 3.47 significant strikes per minute at an impressive 38% success rate; “Venezuelan Fighter” takes 3.12 rounds for his win. Omar Morales has the ability to block 61% of strikes thrown his way. In his last Octagon appearance against Uros Medic, Omar Morales suffered a defeat via punch to the head in round 2. Medic connected on 95% of his significant strikes from a distance, while Morales connected on 96%. Overall, Morales connected on 33 of 85 attempts for an impressive 38% success rate. He ended up landing 18 of 64 significant strikes directed at the head, totaling 47 of 86 hits. Out of these hits, 21 were directed at the head. When looking at total strikes attempted in that fight, Medic landed 47 out of 86 while Morales hit 33 out of 85 total strikes.
Chris Duncan is the more skilled wrestler when it comes to takedowns, taking his opponents down 4.18 times per three rounds. Duncan has taken 40% of his opponents down and stopped 15% while Morales gets his opponents on the mat on 85% of attempts and defends 63% against those attempts. When it comes to going for subs, Duncan leads with 0.7 subs per 15 minutes while Morales averages 0.5 subs per 15 minutes.
Chris Duncan vs Omar Morales Free Pick
UFC betting lines favor Duncan to secure the victory against Morales due to his recent string of victories. His knockout win against Campbell had many bettors placing their wagers on him, especially after the Venezuelan had recently come off two consecutive setbacks. Yet don’t count out Morales just yet; he still possesses the skills and experience needed to beat someone of Duncan’s caliber. Expect a close fight between these two fighters with Duncan emerging victorious via close decision.
Free Pick: Chris Duncan -118
