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Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning 4/11/2023 Expert Picks, Tips and Odds

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning 4/11/2023 Expert Picks, Tips and Odds

The Toronto Maple Leafs are set to continue their road trip as they face off against the Tampa Bay Lightning at Amalie Arena on Tuesday. Toronto finished the regular season in second place in the Atlantic Division with a 48-21-11 overall record, earning 107 points and clinching a spot in the Eastern Conference playoffs. However, they fell short of the league’s top team, the Boston Bruins, by 24 points. The Maple Leafs come into this game with a strong recent record, having won three of their last four games and carrying a two-game winning streak, including a 2-1 overtime road victory against the Florida Panthers on Monday. In that game, center John Tavares scored the winning goal in the extended period with just over four minutes remaining, while goalie Ilya Samsonov was outstanding in net, stopping 45 shots for a save percentage of .978.

The Maple Leafs’ star center, Auston Matthews, also continued his impressive season by scoring his 40th goal of the year with less than three minutes left in the second period against the Panthers. Matthews was assisted by right winger Mitchell Marner and defenseman TJ Brodie. With Matthews and Marner leading the way, Toronto’s offense has been one of the most potent in the league, ranking fifth in goals per game with an average of 3.33.

  • The total remained UNDER in 4 of Toronto’s last 5 games on the road.
  • The total went OVER in 7 of Toronto’s last 7 games on the road against Tampa Bay.
  • The Maple Leafs are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games played in April.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning 4/11/2023 Expert Picks, Tips and Odds

The Tampa Bay Lightning will look to bounce back after a rough road trip that saw them drop three consecutive games when they face off against the Toronto Maple Leafs on Tuesday. Currently sitting in third place in the Atlantic Division with a record of 45-29-6, the Lightning has already secured a playoff berth in the Eastern Conference. Despite this, their recent performances have been underwhelming, having lost three straight games, including a 4-7 defeat at the hands of the Ottawa Senators over the weekend. 

Although they have struggled as of late, the Lightning has won three of their last six games. In their recent loss to the Senators, Stamkos converted on a power play early in the opening period to tie the score at 1-1. LW Brandon Hagel and Defenseman Victor Hedman also added power-play goals to bring the game to a tie twice, while Center Brayden Point scored his 49th goal of the season to cut the deficit to 4-5 in the third period. Despite their efforts, the Lightning was unable to pull out a victory and ultimately fell 4-7 to the Senators. 

  • The total went OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay’s last 7 games at home against Toronto. 
  • The Rays are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games against an opponent in the Atlantic Division division.
  • The total went  OVER in 11 of Tampa Bay’s last 13 games played in April. 

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Tampa Bay Lightning. The NHL Pick for this contest is the Tampa Bay Lightning. The Tampa Bay Lightning boasts an impressive home record of 27-7-5, providing them with the necessary home-ice advantage and crowd support to recover from their three-game losing streak. This game marks the final push before the start of the playoffs, and the Lightning is eager to capitalize on the opportunity to end their losing streak at home on Tuesday. In my prediction, I anticipate a closely contested game, with the Lightning edging out their opponents by a score of 4-3.

NHL Starting Time: 7:00 PM ET

Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL

Date: Tuesday, April 11, 2023


NHL Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay Lightning -130   

NHL Totals: 6.5 

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