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NFL Week 15 Betting Prediction: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Green Bay Packers 12/17/2023

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-7) vs. Green Bay Packers (6-7)

At Lambeau Field on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET and broadcast by CBS, two 6-7 teams, Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Green Bay Packers, will square off in an intriguing Week 15 showdown for NFC supremacy. Fans and bettors eager for latest NFL picks have their eyes set on this contest; both squads hope to stay alive in playoff contention by improving their standings and keeping up with the playoff pace.

The Buccaneers offense led by Baker Mayfield has seen mixed success this season. Mayfield completed 62.6 percent of his passes for 2934 yards with 20 touchdowns and 8 interceptions; Rachaad White spearheaded their rushing attack with 745 rushing yards and five touchdowns; Mike Evans has stood out with 62 passes for 1020 yards and 10 touchdowns, giving them an ability to balance their air and ground game to beat Packers defense.

Green Bay Packers’ play has also been mixed, as quarterback Jordan Love boasts an 80% completion rate and has passed for 2866 yards, 22 touchdowns, and 10 interceptions. Running back AJ Dillon has had less success rushing for 521 yards with only one touchdown scored on him; wide receiver Jayden Reed has proven reliable with 513 receiving yards and five touchdowns collected thus far – something they must capitalize on against Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense.


Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Green Bay Packers Game Info

When: Sunday, December 17, 2023 at 1:00 PM ET
Where: Lambeau Field
Stream: NFL Game Pass


Baker Mayfield QB vs. Jordan Love QB

Baker Mayfield has regained his swagger and playmaking ability since taking over the Bucs offense, reducing costly turnovers while still attacking downfield. The former No. 1 overall pick is coming off a 289-yard, 2 TD outing and has built strong chemistry with elite weapons like Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. He now draws a premium matchup against Green Bay’s 25th-ranked pass defense that’s allowing nearly 250 yards per game through the air. With the freedom to take shots and his refined quick-passing game clicking, Mayfield has real top-10 fantasy QB potential this week.

Jordan Love has impressed mightily in his first year as a starter, utilizing his underrated mobility and cannon right arm to make splash plays inside and outside the pocket. While he has been prone to mistakes, the former late first-rounder continues to develop strong rapport with young targets like Romeo Doubs and Christian Watson. Considering Tampa Bay’s 27th-ranked pass defense that was just torched by Brock Purdy, Love carries significant upside, especially if Aaron Jones is sidelined. This may be his breakout multi-TD performance. 


NFL Odds/Point Spread: Green Bay Packers -180, Total Odds: 43.5

The betting odds favor the Packers slightly, reflecting the home-field advantage and their comparable performances this season. The spread of 3.5 points and total odds set at 43.5 points suggest a close and potentially moderate-scoring game.


Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Trends

Tampa Bay boasts an impressive 5-2 against the spread (ATS) record over their previous seven overall. They also sport a superb 6-1 ATS mark on the road this season, covering efficiently as underdogs. Most notably, the Bucs have dominated this NFC North rivalry recently, going 4-1 straight up and a perfect 5-0 ATS over the last five head-to-head meetings. These trends signal betting value on Tampa and the points Sunday.


Green Bay Packers Betting Trends

The Packers are 4-2 straight up and ATS across their last six contests, indicating steady, consistent play. Yet they’ve surprisingly underwhelmed at Lambeau Field this year from a betting perspective, going just 3-4 ATS while seeing four of their last five home games go OVER the total. They also own an unflattering 2-8 ATS record as home chalk this season. These trends suggest fading Green Bay laying points.


Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Green Bay Packers 12/17/23 Betting Picks

Given the analysis and betting trends, this game looks to be evenly matched. The Packers might have a slight edge due to their home-field advantage and recent ATS performance. However, the Buccaneers’ road ATS record makes them a viable underdog pick.

When considering betting options, while the Packers are favorites, the Buccaneers could provide value. Prop bets on individual player performances, especially for quarterbacks and leading receivers, could be interesting. The over/under is a close call, but given the trends, leaning towards the over might be more favorable.

This prediction considers the Packers’ home-field advantage and their recent form, though the Buccaneers’ ability to cover the spread makes this a potentially close contest. For bettors, exploring various options at the best online betting platforms, including spreads, moneylines, and totals, would be advisable for this tightly contested NFL Week 15 game.


Free Pick and Prediction: Green Bay Packers 24, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 21

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